Patience I think is the key,often playing a mtt I find myself completely card dead had 40 + hands without even been dealt an ace. Trying to chip up and survive to me is not a matter of luck. How we play when the cards and situations don't favor us to see flops may determine if we go deep or survive at times. Also our play sub 20 bbs, sometimes it's going to be make or break.
It's not the outcome of the hand that's important; it's how you got there that defines whether you played it well or not.
Follow my progress via my blog - https://mattjburns1988.wixsite.com/website
In this case, it is important to develop patience and play skills. A lot of analysis is also important because if you find out there that you made a mistake you can fix it. If you do everything well you will be patient because you will have the result I think.
The basic strategies are more important than luck.
However, luck can beat the strategies. For example, a lucky guy can get goods hands (= match to the board by flop). This guy is over the strategies. Therefore, luck is the strongest skill.
luck is always going to see, but it is 15%, the rest is the player's ability to read the situation found in a certain type of game, a good player analyzes from his rival to the last card that falls in the deck, we must learn to have that style to be long-term winning players, luck is last, let's think of well-developed strategies that are profitable.
Naturally, in the long run, relying only on good luck you will simply be beaten off by poker sharks and more than once. An interesting strategy but definitely utopian))) Although if you play only freerolls, maybe why not)))
If this game did not have luck and was only based on skill nobody would make a profit long term..it would be like chess. You want people to beat you with luck, it’s when you win all the other times with skill is when you make your money.
I never understood why people get mad when they experience bad beats, it’s the part of business you WANT.
Without it, nobody(novices that think they can win with any two cards) would ever pay to play.. and nobody would be giving you their money in the other hands..ever...period.
Without luck in the game, everyone would be broke and bored. Embrace luck and love the bad beats, they are your repeat customers that ‘gamble’
Poker players do not gamble, we are strategic investors
Here we will rely on the definition that luck is only a "law of probability" that moves through the degree of your control over the circumstances and variables of your papers and the players around you, you must calculate the odd for your benefit or vice versa,
The ideas were devised by the goddess of fortune
to justify their choice of position. Δημόκριτος Ancient Greek philosopher
Luck skill patience persistense courage boldness self confidence
is the complete package a poker player needs
I see a lot of poker talk about luck and people say things like it is 50% luck and 50% skill others say it is 80% skill and 20% luck or 80% luck and 20% skill.
anyone that just makes a blanket statement like that has no idea what they are talking about. I am sorry if that appears disrespectful. I am a maths and statistics student and basically there is something called the central limit theorem.
Now some games a strong shark will have only 1% or 2% edge in and thus over a short sample size it is almost entirely luck. However over a large sample size that 1% or 2% edge can become massively significant once the sample size is large enough. variance (what the niave person calls luck) becomes smaller and smaller as our sample size increases. if we have a 1% or 2% edge over ten games our result is almost entirely due to variance/luck. if however we run such a situation 100s of thousands of time their is almost no luck at all it is entirely skill.
for example lets say we have a 2% ROI in six max hyper turbos then putting this into a poker variance simulator i get with a 95% confidence interval
over 200 games (-$300, $360) almost entirely luck based
over 2000 games (-$720, $1200) still mostly luck based
over 20000 games (-$1110, $5430) can still be hard hit due to bad luck
over 200000 games ($15510, $30480) luck is still a factor but now our confidence interval does not contain 0 and thus we can be confident it now unlikely for us to lose money over this sample size in fact the 99% interval also only contains positive figures.
if we take a less variant form of poker say we have a 5% edge in six max standard game or a double or nothing then we get the following
over 200 games (-$111, $222)
over 2000 games ($51, $1029)
over 20000 games ($3555,$6876)
over 200000 games we get ($47079, $57195)
again we can see in a small sample size it is very much luck based but in a large sample size our results depend much more on skill.
of course this is not actually how you work out confidence intervals this is a variance simulator
poker is part luck part skill depending on your edge and the poker variant and the number of games you play the ratio of luck to skill will vary.
their is no fixed number it depends on all these factors.
It is so. Long-term luck loses against good play. The difficult thing is to control our behavior before bad streaks where we see all black and we want to recover everything and we end up playing any hand regardless of whether it is the correct game.
and im done after this response straight after i explained it, and the other guy who thought i should gamble my entire bankroll against the best players out their in a game variant that I have not trained for. I am just losing faith in this forum.
I have thought a lot about luck in this game. I prefer tournaments and I am starting to follow the advice of David N. So, for instance, if there is a big raise in early position and I have
AK in late position I do NOT go all in. I am looking to avoid coin flip situations that will risk my tournament life. While you can score big with coin flips, you can also get crushed. Luck is a big part of the game. With small ball poker, you can accentuate your skills.