Nek
Enthusiast
Silver Level
Things like that happen to me all the time in online poker!These things are probable even in real life,so you shouldm't be that surprised!!
The real surprise would have been if you had AA 2 times in a row!!!!
The real surprise would have been if you had AA 2 times in a row!!!!
deadhxc
Visionary
Silver Level
That happened to me last night on 3 different tables
got 10d/7c at the same time on all 3 was very disturbing
kaiWalk
Rock Star
Silver Level
There are only 2,652 unique starting hands, therefore your chances of being dealt consecutive duplicates is 1:2,652. Add the 1:2 odds of hitting the same order & your odds are 1:5,304, or 0.0188% of the time. Every 5,300 hands, you should expect to see this.
Despite Nek's assertion, those odds are much thinner then getting consecutive A's. AA occurs 1:220 or 4.5% of the time. In other words, each time you get dealt AA, you have a 4.5% chance of catching it the next hand.
You probably have received consecutive duplicate hands previously, but there are many hands that don't require much scrutiny to lay down. I know that I have received 72o consecutively and never looked close enough to determine if they matched.
Poker is a game of probabilities. Situations like these remind us that after hitting 1:5,304, an opponent catching the "miracle" 1 outer on the river (1:44) isn't really that unheard of.
Edit: Just noticed your post count vs. the AA poster. Guess much of the above was old news to you.
Despite Nek's assertion, those odds are much thinner then getting consecutive A's. AA occurs 1:220 or 4.5% of the time. In other words, each time you get dealt AA, you have a 4.5% chance of catching it the next hand.
You probably have received consecutive duplicate hands previously, but there are many hands that don't require much scrutiny to lay down. I know that I have received 72o consecutively and never looked close enough to determine if they matched.
Poker is a game of probabilities. Situations like these remind us that after hitting 1:5,304, an opponent catching the "miracle" 1 outer on the river (1:44) isn't really that unheard of.
Edit: Just noticed your post count vs. the AA poster. Guess much of the above was old news to you.
Last edited:
K_Kahne_Fan
Legend
Silver Level
Just to be sure I'm reading correctly, getting AA (or ATC) in a row (minus suite and position) is 1:220, but to get the exact same suited two cards is 1:2651 and to add the exact same spot is 1:5304?
kaiWalk
Rock Star
Silver Level
No, the odds of getting AA 2 times running are not 1:220. The deck has no memory. The odds of catching AA are the same every single deal, regardless of what you held previously.
If you reread my post, I gave the odds for hitting AA, after you already caught it once. Put another way, it's not the probability of catching ATC 2x running, it's the probability of hitting these two cards, on the next deal.
K_Kahne_Fan
Legend
Silver Level
Maybe it's because it's late here, but I'm not seeing the difference between 2xrunning or on the next deal... isn't the next deal the second time running?
kaiWalk
Rock Star
Silver Level
Maybe I misunderstood your clarification request.
So long as you are not predicting the first hand, then yes, the odds are as stated.
Every single hand you get, your odds of catching the same cards, in the same order on the next deal are 1:5,304.
Every PP you get, your odds of catching the same PP on the next deal are 1:220.
So long as you are not predicting the first hand, then yes, the odds are as stated.
Every single hand you get, your odds of catching the same cards, in the same order on the next deal are 1:5,304.
Every PP you get, your odds of catching the same PP on the next deal are 1:220.