did i make a mistake
crown casino melbourne. Blinds 2/3 cash games. i have over 500 while villian has only 110. game is very loose passive.
preflop im on button with A3. 3 players limit 3. i raise to 15. blinds fold but other players call. flop is 2K5. villian bets out 25. co calls and i call. turn comes a 8 and board is rainbow. villian bets out 25 co fold and i call.
it was pretty clear that he had a K with some decent kicker. i figured that i was getting 5 to 1 to the flop on roughly 7 outs (three aces and four 3s) so roughly 3 to 1 chance of me hitting to the river. The turn he was giving me 6 to 1 odds
(with roughly 8 to 1 implied odds seeing he was pretty much pot commited on the river) and i figured i still had a 6.5 to 1 to catch on the river.
Was my thinking process reasonable or did i make a huge mistake?