X
Xavier
Rock Star
Silver Level
How Often Would The Strongest Player Make The Final Table in the $11 Deep Stack on Stars?
There are on average around 1500 players in it which means the average player would get to the final table 9/1500 of the time which is 0.6%.
A player has to double his stack 7 or 8 times to get to the final table.
Assuming it is 8 times for the best player: say they are 75% chance to survive the first 4 double ups then 65% to survive the last 4.
This means probability for the best player making final table =
0.75^4 x 0.65^4 = 5%
So I think the best player out there should make the final table around 5% or 1 in 20 times.
Do you think this estimate is reasonable?
There are on average around 1500 players in it which means the average player would get to the final table 9/1500 of the time which is 0.6%.
A player has to double his stack 7 or 8 times to get to the final table.
Assuming it is 8 times for the best player: say they are 75% chance to survive the first 4 double ups then 65% to survive the last 4.
This means probability for the best player making final table =
0.75^4 x 0.65^4 = 5%
So I think the best player out there should make the final table around 5% or 1 in 20 times.
Do you think this estimate is reasonable?