re: Poker & How everybody can be a winning poker player!
Originally Posted by NineLions
This is right on, in more than one way. People have selective memories and if they don't meticulously track their playing they think that they're ahead when they aren't. Although, I don't see how online is more likely to be misremembered since you have a bankroll and the sites track it for you. But if you play live it gets much harder to keep track.
And, you will learn more playing against better players, and the CC buyin events are cheap learning for the price.
I've searched for statistics as I heard somewhere that 90% of players are losers but I can't find where that came from, nor can I find any other reasonable source for basing my assumptions on. Maybe someone like AG has a reliable source somewhere, or if anyone else knows, please let me know.
The thing is, even players who know they've lost think they're just getting bad beats. Most of the people I know from real life chalk it up to the fact that they're playing donks. No matter how hard I try to convince them that if the answer to making other players lose (thus them winning) was to play like an idiot and chase draws, the pros would do it, they insist they are winning players, and either use that explanation or say they're running cold. This one kid actually tried to tell me he'd been running cold for 6 months as he dropped $500. He said he believed in luck and was taking time off hoping it'd wear off. 2 months later he came back, his "cold streak" was still going.
And then there's people like me, who keep thinking they've done what it takes to become a winning player, find out they haven't the hard way, and repeat. This time however I think I've got it, as after a little over 2k hands, I've won about $50 (posted my "grand plan" earlier) at $0.05/$0.10 at a steady rate of around 11 and a half BB/100 hands. Hopefully I'm actually playing well and I can withstand the bad beats with my BR now that I'm not playing at $0.25/$0.50 with a $100 BR. But who knows, in another couple months I could be broke again, just another loser who thinks he can win, but hopefully not .
And then of course there are the live players, they remember every bad beat but remember the one time they won big and say they're up. After every session I write down what I bought in with, what I cashed out, and my net.