Originally Posted by jewboy07
i would take that 5 cent bet but we all know Zach is gonna come rushin in with some crazy math that we cant comprehend anytime now
lol it's not that crazy.
Odds of pocket pair 1st hand = 3/51 = 0.0588 (no matter what 1st card is, 3 out of the remaining 51 will make a pair)
Odds of set = 1-(48/50)(47/49)(46/48) = 0.117 (the opposite of the odds of missing the set on all 3 cards)
Odds of getting the same cards again same suits (without order mattering) = (2/52)(1/51) = 0.075% = 0.00075
odds of setting with the same card = 1-(49/50)(48/49)(47/48) = 0.06
Odds of them all happening = 0.0588*0.117*0.00075*0.06 = .000031% = 1 in 3,230,162.
But then again this makes no difference. Sure it's unlikely, but so is me being dealt A5o, JJ, 38h, 98o, KK, A8o, 22, 23o, 8Td all in a row. In fact I'd bet that sequence is less likely than your hand.
Anyway the only thing remotely complicated in the math I did was the fact that 1-any probability is the probability of it not happening. Everything else is pretty basic probability, so I don't know what y'all are talking about me doing insane complicated math.
Now I'm currently taking an upper level college course in probability. That DOES have insane math including integrals, infinite sums, etc. in probability. All I'm using is arithmetic.