For experienced players: For every 10 games, how many do you win?

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chewie49

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Hello Guys!

I know this is a weird question, But I wonder if what is happening to me is a signal that I am getting better or it is just "odds".

I have being playing very atcively since August 2008. I play only SnGs.

I have being keeping a record of my games and I win (1st place) about 4 for every 10 games I play. About 4 other games, I finished within the last 3 players. The other 2 remaining, I loose in the last place, or almost in the last.

So, it would be something like this:

From 10 games I:

- 4 Win (1st place)
- 4 End in 2nd or 3rd place
- 2 Lose very badly (last place or almost)

This has being keeping like these from almost 2 months ago.

What do you think? Is this a signal of something?

cheers!

Chewie.
 
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nugganootch

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80% in the money seems way too high, or maybe I'm just rubbish at sngs :p.

how many games are you talking about? I would think this is a small sample and you're running hot but I doubt it's something that you could keep up for long. There are a bunch of SnG guys on here who'll have a better idea but I think this is probably just a hot streak
 
slycbnew

slycbnew

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A 40% winrate at SNG's is insanely high - I think that a 40 - 45% ITM winrate is considered good, 80% borders on absurd. Your ROI must be skyhigh.

This is likely an extremely hot run over a small sample. Check out your stats on one of the tracking sites and compare to other players.
 
sky4ever

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What buy-ins are you playing at ?
 
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CashinJen

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ok

If you can keep this up you'll make tons of money but my guess is this is just a good run and youll go down a bit. Play a few more weeks and then tell us what it looks like I think you'll have a better Idea then.
 
Dwilius

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LOL, those were the stats I had at playmoney. Are these 9 player sngos? Must be small sample or you should have won enough money to move up a few levels with 150% ROI...unless these are 6 player sngos, then its very good and possibly sustainable (at the lowest level)
 
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vanquish

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winning 4 out of 10 SNGs is ridiculously ridiculous, esp. since ur saying you finish 2nd or 3rd in 4 out of 10 SNGs as well. pretty much, you're the best SNG player alive if these are really your stats over a decent sample size.
 
Four Dogs

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I'm sorry. I don't believe you.
 
jdeliverer

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This must be over like 5 games or you are running insanely hot. It's actually impossible to sustain if you experience normal variance.
 
Poker Orifice

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Best SNG player I've ever heard of. I want to purchase some SNG training videos from you sir!!
 
5TR8 FLUSH

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My SNG cash win percentage is around 45%, there not alway's 1st or 2nd. I normally place 4th(average) in the 45 ppl SNG's on pokerstars. 80% is great specially when you play in 1st or 2nd on each one.

How many people register in the SNG's that you play?
 
MrMuckets

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Itm for SnG's is 34% I think that is ok. And i don't believe you either.:) :)
 
woody19

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u having some good luck i guess lol :):)

i usaly win 3/4 out of 10 sngs

in big torneys i usaly make it to atleast the money like 40/50% overall

but thats a differnt story atm tho having a spot of bad luck keep getting bad beats argggg:(:(
 
Kuberr

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I play mostly 6 player SnG's, and I win maybe 2 and finish ITM in another 2. Other times I make some bad plays or I get bad-beated out, like yesterday. Sixes beat my Queens, and then the guy hits a straight on the river to knock me out.
 
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LizzyJ

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Top SNG players usually average around 35% ITM. In large MTT's top players usually average around 15% ITM. Anything much higher, I would have a difficult time believing. If you have played less than 1,000 SnG's or MTT than a super high ITM is variance working in your favor.
 
clubsta

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Yep, very, very lucky if those are your overall stats for more than a few rounds of record keeping. I usually win 2/3 games of out ten, and finish ITM about 40% of the time.
80% ITM is ridiculously good . . . that's not normal . . . not even close.
 
Lemlywinks

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in big torneys i usaly make it to atleast the money like 40/50% overall

I don't know what's more ludicrous

-a SNG'er with an 80% success rate at 9 player SNGs

-or a player with a ITM of 45% on big MTTs.......

At any rate. Your success is great, but how many SNGs is that?
 
vanquish

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yea i finish ITM about 7000% of the time, so i dunno
 
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chewie49

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guys, Guys!

Wait!....I said in my original post I started on August 2008, so I already declared I am a Newbie and I am here to learn from people better than me.

These stats has been from about 2 months ago until today.

Yes, I have thought this is a lucky wave. I am not pretending to declare myself "the best SnG player". I didn't ask this question to sound egocentric.

I am asking because I am still very new to this game. That's it.

Now I know the normal rate would be be ITM about 35/40% of the time.

That's it.

Thank you guys for your comments.

Cheers!

Chewie.
 
jewboy07

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ive never done worse then 10 outta 10 wins

this is over a 14574575345 game sample size so ya i iz a pro
 
Lemlywinks

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guys, Guys!

Wait!....I said in my original post I started on August 2008, so I already declared I am a Newbie and I am here to learn from people better than me.

These stats has been from about 2 months ago until today.

Yes, I have thought this is a lucky wave. I am not pretending to declare myself "the best SnG player". I didn't ask this question to sound egocentric.

I am asking because I am still very new to this game. That's it.

Now I know the normal rate would be be ITM about 35/40% of the time.

That's it.

Thank you guys for your comments.

Cheers!

Chewie.

Just a ? I was aware. Just a little badgering is all ;) Best of luck with all future SNGs mate :)
 
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LizzyJ

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Actually, on the average out of 10 games I usually win 15 of them.

It's true, no lie.
 
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