L
LukeSilver
Rock Star
Silver Level
So I am a little bit ahead of most people here in that I am actually capable of playing poker for a living.
With my current win rate if I was to drop out of uni right now not take a job and just play poker full time I could survive pay rent and pay food of poker winnings.
However this is not as good as it sounds my win rate would still put me close to minimum wage though slightly above it. I would not have to pay tax so maybe a bit more then slightly above.
If I made more effort I could make a decent wage in all probability more then I would make when I graduate working for someone so why dont I just do that?
Well because I don't think poker has a future online poker is a sitting duck in my opinion waiting to be exploited and killed by bots. I mass table sit and goes and I realise a lot of my play is robotic true I adapt to certain weird things I see but for the most part the play is pretty much robotic and a bot could be programmed to do the exact same thing I do but much better.
You may think this wont apply to high stakes but ultimately bots have beaten our elites at chess Go and all other games its only a matter of time before bots that can beat anyone appear online. poker sites have software to track them but then this could be on a second computer scanning the screen and informing a human what to click. perhaps they could detect non human playing patterns but then a bot could be programmed to look more like a human player and appear indistinguishable from a human player.
Once bots properly come onto online poker the game is dead. How long we have until this happen is anyones guess a year 5 years 10 years 20? but it will happen it is inevitable.
Then what life poker? but the issue with that is in order to make a decent living one has to play reasonably high stakes eg £2/5+ blinds considering 100-300 BB buyin for cash tables is the norm depending which casino you go to we could be looking at £500 to £1500 to sit down with on a cash table. Huge variance and one would need say 50 buyins for cash is the standard so a £25000 bank roll yeah anyone who has that capital has better options then poker.
on top of this poker is not really profitable for the casinos in terms of oppertunity cost a roulette or black jack table makes them significantly more money then a poker a table can but the poker is more like a promotion to get people through the doors.
will the casinos even keep poker around much longer? you might say absolutely but who knows either way for sure. and even if they do again huge variance for life poker.
so the question is does poker even have a future in terms of an income or job?
With my current win rate if I was to drop out of uni right now not take a job and just play poker full time I could survive pay rent and pay food of poker winnings.
However this is not as good as it sounds my win rate would still put me close to minimum wage though slightly above it. I would not have to pay tax so maybe a bit more then slightly above.
If I made more effort I could make a decent wage in all probability more then I would make when I graduate working for someone so why dont I just do that?
Well because I don't think poker has a future online poker is a sitting duck in my opinion waiting to be exploited and killed by bots. I mass table sit and goes and I realise a lot of my play is robotic true I adapt to certain weird things I see but for the most part the play is pretty much robotic and a bot could be programmed to do the exact same thing I do but much better.
You may think this wont apply to high stakes but ultimately bots have beaten our elites at chess Go and all other games its only a matter of time before bots that can beat anyone appear online. poker sites have software to track them but then this could be on a second computer scanning the screen and informing a human what to click. perhaps they could detect non human playing patterns but then a bot could be programmed to look more like a human player and appear indistinguishable from a human player.
Once bots properly come onto online poker the game is dead. How long we have until this happen is anyones guess a year 5 years 10 years 20? but it will happen it is inevitable.
Then what life poker? but the issue with that is in order to make a decent living one has to play reasonably high stakes eg £2/5+ blinds considering 100-300 BB buyin for cash tables is the norm depending which casino you go to we could be looking at £500 to £1500 to sit down with on a cash table. Huge variance and one would need say 50 buyins for cash is the standard so a £25000 bank roll yeah anyone who has that capital has better options then poker.
on top of this poker is not really profitable for the casinos in terms of oppertunity cost a roulette or black jack table makes them significantly more money then a poker a table can but the poker is more like a promotion to get people through the doors.
will the casinos even keep poker around much longer? you might say absolutely but who knows either way for sure. and even if they do again huge variance for life poker.
so the question is does poker even have a future in terms of an income or job?
