Am I finally a winning low stakes cash game player?

I am an SNG junkie but am learning to play a decent cash game I think. Below I have posted some stats from the last month or so playing $10NL. Could I get some opinions on if this is too small a sample to even have an idea?

hands: 5954 (Like I said, kinda small sample)
$: $80.49
BB/100: 13.52
VPIP%: 19
PFR%: 13.2
3 Bet%: 5.2
WTSD%: 27
W$SD%: 56.1
Agg: 2.99
Agg%: 30.8

If this is way to small a sample, how many hands before I get an idea of how good I am? If I need to work on some areas, which ones?

People here know better than I, but I think that sample number of hands may have very little significance.


Winning is always good, though, so keep up the good work.

Sample is small so i would expect your "true" winrate to be either lower or higher.
I would try to close the gap beetween VPIP and PFR, by either raising or folding some hands your limping/calling with.
Are u playing FR or 6max? Your 3bet seems a litle high to me for FR but is fine for 6max.

Thats about it.
If u want a better analysis of your stats post your postional stats.

sindri_93 said:

Sample is small so i would expect your "true" winrate to be either lower or higher.
I would try to close the gap beetween VPIP and PFR, by either raising or folding some hands your limping/calling with.
Are u playing FR or 6max? Your 3bet seems a litle high to me for FR but is fine for 6max.

Thats about it.
If u want a better analysis of your stats post your postional stats.

Click to expand...

I'm playing FR. Most of my limps are from late position with small PP's, suited connectors/1-2 gappers, and Ax suited when the pot is either min raised with a few callers (with full stacks) or several limpers in front of me.

I will fold to a nice bet most of the time after the flop unless I make my hand or a solid draw. Is this not the best way to play these types of hands?

How many hands before I discover my true winrate? 10,000? 20,000? 50,000? More?

ok first off dont listen to the guy about ur gap between vpip and ur pfr. it is close enough i dont see anything wrong there. your sample is too small so dont listen to the guy who said sample size is not significant. the truth is IT IS!!!!!! i would say u need to play about 10 to 20k hands before u can truly see how well ur playing at certain stakes. my bet is the bb/100 for you is going to drop a bit over the next 5 to 10k hands.

and back to the vpip pfr, when i looked at it again u could get these closer but really it would just be a percentage point or so, so it is not a big deal as of now

DetroitJimmy said:

I'm playing FR. Most of my limps are from late position with small PP's, suited connectors/1-2 gappers, and Ax suited when the pot is either min raised with a few callers (with full stacks) or several limpers in front of me.

I will fold to a nice bet most of the time after the flop unless I make my hand or a solid draw. Is this not the best way to play these types of hands?

How many hands before I discover my true winrate? 10,000? 20,000? 50,000? More?

Click to expand...

Its almost impossible to judge hands with out actualy seeing them, post some hands your not sure about in the HA section and im sure you will get alot of feedback.
That said, i never open limp and only rarely limp behind(only if there are like 4-5 limpers infront and i have 55 other wise im raising all pairs).

In theory u should actualy never know your real win rate since the games are allways changing and you should allways be improving your game.
But yeah i would say like 20k hands at one level should be pretty close to your actual win rate.

If your using HEM you can check your standard deviation and punch that and your curent winrate into this variance simulator http://www.pokervariancesimulator.fr/ .
Pretty scary how much variance can affect your winrate even over a large sample...