Originally Posted by WizofDTM
I thought 9 players at table
with 4 cards on board three of them in one suit
and me holding the Ace of that suit would give me some kind of odds
(you can guess i am not a math major) on getting the flush hand.
Next time it happens i can say oh, my odds are ___ against getting
my flush - but I'm going for it anyway - this is poker isn't it?
Anyway, I'm not looking for a complex answer - just a rule of thumb.
What would the Pros do.
Ok, assuming there are 3 spades on board and the nut flush gives you a stone cold nuts (this is of course assuming that none of the spades gives your opponent a straight flush or a full house) you have 9 outs after the flop technically (very unlikely, but technically) making you a 36% chance of winning the pot with the nut flush. If the turn is a blank, you have a 20% of making your hand on the river. I am not counting your A as a live out with possible top pair, although you could count this if you felt it was good enough
What would the pro's do? I dont know. What would I do? Again I am not sure, my decision would vary depending on whether I wanted to put my tourney on a coinflip, with the odds against me making my hand