Originally Posted by smellikerurx
When it gets to mid to late stages of tournies I still can put players on a hand that is close to what they have, but still end up making a bad play and donking off all my chips.
This contradicts what you wrote immediately before it.
If you were able to put players on hands accurately you could not end up making bad plays.
I think what you do is this, you notice that the reraise shows strength... you then shout out a big hand that beats you but call anyway.
You then forget all of the times you were wrong about the read as you won the pot and focus only on the times you lost the pot but correctly shouted out the word set before hand.
Now when you hold a strong overpair, you are either going to win the pot or loose to a bigger hand. (its obvious) So what you are doing is training yourself to believe your reads are better than they really are.
If your reads were accurate you would fold more when you think you are beat.. so I would suggest that you are wrong about the set as often as you are right (the QQ stands up.. but you forget this because you won the pot).
So I think its in your head.
Either your reads are good.. in which case you should be following them
Your reads are no where near as good as you think, but you are negatively reinforcing them by putting people on bigger hands every time you hold a strong hand yet call anyway.
Its a win / win situation for your ego.. you either win the pot or make the read.
Its a lose / lose situation for your poker game
because you are not really improving your game.. just stating the obvious.. that when someone shows aggression and you have a big hand.. you will only lose to a bigger hand.
So my suggestion would be to note down your 'reads' every time you make one and see how often they are correct. If you put someone on a set and they dont have it.. you loose a read point.. if they do have the set.. you get a point.. see if you are in the plus or minus reads column by the end of each session.
The other big negative reinforcement here is that if you dont focus on the reads you got wrong, just the calls you get wrong, this means that when yo bust out of a session its always down to a call rather than a read. So you believe that if you followed your reads you would do better.. but that isnt true.. if he didnt have a set at that point... you would have won.. only to bust out later.. of course when you bust out.. it is always going to be to a biger hand.. do you see the cycle of negative reinforcement?