Strategy against a player who takes this line frequently
In my home game, we have a guy who demonstrates a tendency to 1) call preflop raises OOP, 2) call substantial bets on draw-heavy flops & turns, 3) make value bets when checked to on the river (particularly when an obvious draw-completing card hits). He's successfully employed this line over the 7-8 sessions I've played against him.
Now, it occurs to me that he's simply been on a nice run lately and he'll be paying me off a large % of the time when his draws miss. Most of the damage he's done has been dealt to the others in the game, but perhaps I'm just tired of laying down KK on the river, like I did recently when the board ran out Ts 9s 9h x 8s.
In general, though, how do you combat this line? Increase preflop raise size and bet sizes on flop & turn to give him worse odds
? He's definitely not very mathematically oriented, and will rarely fold a common draw in the face of a 3-bet flop. Do I give him too much credit for his river bets, even when I've seen him turn over the nuts multiple times? Perhaps exercise a little pot control when the board is so draw heavy and he shows interest on the flop?