S
sillymunchie
Visionary
Silver Level
Ill tell you why
my logic is completely flawwed, or completely accurate and im just the unluckiest guy in the world
So this is the story, i have been playing for 2 years, and i am really into the maths side of poker, i feel like im getting the hang of it, but i dont have a steady bankroll as i can only put in a little each month
obv depositing $20 is never going to be easy, but heres the part that i get stuck with, i can play the STTs, but i only seem to be a winning MTT player, STTs i am a losing player, and cash games well they are my bankrupcy game
as i dont have a steady BR i decide to take a shot with the full bankroll
now this is where the confusion is getting, and im trying to figure out if its right in my eyes, or its wrong
ok so lets say i have $20 on the table, its an agressive and loose table so i sit tight, finally pick up pocket "Jacks +"
its raised ahead of me to say $1 i re raise $5 and the person flats me
now we have $10 in the pot and all numbers are small 3 6 8 flop
there is just over $10 in the pot, so my next move prety much has to be all in at this stage, im not raising $7.50 and folding to a shove, so in it goes and they call with a set
AND THATS THE CONFUSION
the maths of this is "he has called $5 to win $20"
but he will only hit his set 1 in 6
so that means he has spent $30 to win the $20 theoretically
now i wouldnt normally care, but remember this is for my whole bankroll and everytime i do it for my whole bankroll they always hit the set.....
this is where i feel im just unlucky
because in my eyes, they call that raise pre flop, but im committed to any flop, knowing this, surely they wont fold the PP after the flop has been seen, but they hit it everytime and so there decision is always easy
IS THE MATHS CORRECT
am i correct in assuming that if i had a proper bankroll, that this would even itself out
am i right in making them pay so much knowing that i will win $30 before i lose $20?
is it bad play by the opponent to call and see a flop as already mentioned ive committed myself to whatever flop hits?
im not one that wants to moan about bad beats, too often, but when i dont know if its opponents bad play, or my misunderstanding of the maths thats what is bothering me. so any assistance would be greatful
my logic is completely flawwed, or completely accurate and im just the unluckiest guy in the world
So this is the story, i have been playing for 2 years, and i am really into the maths side of poker, i feel like im getting the hang of it, but i dont have a steady bankroll as i can only put in a little each month
obv depositing $20 is never going to be easy, but heres the part that i get stuck with, i can play the STTs, but i only seem to be a winning MTT player, STTs i am a losing player, and cash games well they are my bankrupcy game
as i dont have a steady BR i decide to take a shot with the full bankroll
now this is where the confusion is getting, and im trying to figure out if its right in my eyes, or its wrong
ok so lets say i have $20 on the table, its an agressive and loose table so i sit tight, finally pick up pocket "Jacks +"
its raised ahead of me to say $1 i re raise $5 and the person flats me
now we have $10 in the pot and all numbers are small 3 6 8 flop
there is just over $10 in the pot, so my next move prety much has to be all in at this stage, im not raising $7.50 and folding to a shove, so in it goes and they call with a set
AND THATS THE CONFUSION
the maths of this is "he has called $5 to win $20"
but he will only hit his set 1 in 6
so that means he has spent $30 to win the $20 theoretically
now i wouldnt normally care, but remember this is for my whole bankroll and everytime i do it for my whole bankroll they always hit the set.....
this is where i feel im just unlucky
because in my eyes, they call that raise pre flop, but im committed to any flop, knowing this, surely they wont fold the PP after the flop has been seen, but they hit it everytime and so there decision is always easy
IS THE MATHS CORRECT
am i correct in assuming that if i had a proper bankroll, that this would even itself out
am i right in making them pay so much knowing that i will win $30 before i lose $20?
is it bad play by the opponent to call and see a flop as already mentioned ive committed myself to whatever flop hits?
im not one that wants to moan about bad beats, too often, but when i dont know if its opponents bad play, or my misunderstanding of the maths thats what is bothering me. so any assistance would be greatful