Apologies guys, this thread should really be in the "Beats" or "Learning Poker" section as much as the "Strategy" one.
Originally Posted by blueskies
Sometimes you won't be able to win no matter what. That's just the way it is.
I've had days where I lose 6 or 7 all ins where I am at least 2:1 fav when the stacks go in. (Usually 75%+) I.e. sets lose to runner runner strs, TPTK lose to two pairs when villain's inferior kicker pairs on the river, etc.
(I only single table and play no more than 200 or 300 a day max, usually much less, so those kinds streaks are fairly "unlucky." Less than 1% prob of losing ALL those showdowns.)
If those are the only types of hands you lose, then you should be a winner overall. People who don't fold will have days when they can't lose. If you run into them during these times, you will be destroyed no matter what, but hopefully the next time luck will be different.
The problem rises when those hands cause you to tilt. So monitor yourself and quit when you start to feel indignant or angry.
Thanks, I have significantly reduced my tilt - I don't mind losing hands I have played badly... the problem I am having is that the days you have mentioned, when you do get the stack in with a good play and lose more than you win... that is just normal variance for me and has been for a while - I don't have faith that even 100 buy-ins can overcome it.
For example, today again these are the times I had my full stack in:
Hero vs Villain - Flop - % - Win/Lose
AK vs AT -7AKr- 98% - W
KK vs AJo -25Jr- 78% - L
QQ vs KK -PF- 19% - L
AA vs 7h6h -84ThAh- 70% - L
I am consistently losing 3/4 of my stacks when I go all-in regardless if the equity is in my favour or if the play is good or if the HUD stats are as tight as possible.
I just doubt that the variance will eventually switch in my favour enough even if I continue to get it in 70%+ 3/4 of the times but I will test it for 100 stacks and see.
Originally Posted by Yadoula
im a good steady winner, £50 an hr for 3 years, and I can still have downswings that last 50,000 hands.
Hi Yadoula, thanks for the perspective.