M
Methodical
Rising Star
Bronze Level
Hi Guys,
I'm struggling a bit with this concept. Been playing poker for a long time, but looking to be more successful in the long run and really want to master this concept, can anyone tell me what I am doing wrong?
___________
Let’s say I have j-10. Unsuited Pre-flop, betting made the pot total $10.
The flop comes 9-8-2. Rainbow. I am assuming my opponent is not on a straight draw and really has flopped a pair of 9’s with A-9 unsuited. I am in last position.
So I am anticipating that I have 12 outs to win this pot. JJJ, 10-10-10, QQQ, 777.
This would give me roughly a 36% chance of drawing out on this hand in Pot equity.
And 3:1 pot odds. 12 cards that save me, while 35 that kill me.
With a bet up to $4.30 I will call because I have pot odds.
But with pot equity, I am being told that for every dollar I bet, I only get to keep $0.72 of it in this scenario.
So I have negative pot equity and should stay away from this draw because in the long run I will always lose money on draws with only 12 of 47 outs?
Or does Pot Odds always take precedence in Cash Games?
I'm struggling a bit with this concept. Been playing poker for a long time, but looking to be more successful in the long run and really want to master this concept, can anyone tell me what I am doing wrong?
___________
Let’s say I have j-10. Unsuited Pre-flop, betting made the pot total $10.
The flop comes 9-8-2. Rainbow. I am assuming my opponent is not on a straight draw and really has flopped a pair of 9’s with A-9 unsuited. I am in last position.
So I am anticipating that I have 12 outs to win this pot. JJJ, 10-10-10, QQQ, 777.
This would give me roughly a 36% chance of drawing out on this hand in Pot equity.
And 3:1 pot odds. 12 cards that save me, while 35 that kill me.
With a bet up to $4.30 I will call because I have pot odds.
But with pot equity, I am being told that for every dollar I bet, I only get to keep $0.72 of it in this scenario.
So I have negative pot equity and should stay away from this draw because in the long run I will always lose money on draws with only 12 of 47 outs?
Or does Pot Odds always take precedence in Cash Games?