Originally Posted by NineLions
What goes into the "no" on dry boards?
Situations where "only better hands will call, worse will always fold" come to mind, though that's obviously opponent-dependent. I often, for instance, check back QQ on a A-3-3r flop against a guy who plays the flop tightly.
I'm thinking a hand that might have showdown value (Ace high, middle pairs, medium pocket pairs) combined with an aggressive but not maniac player where you know he knows it's dry and he might opt to check/raise thereby bloating the pot. Or maybe when by betting you make it too easy for them to float when they check/call the flop and then bet out on the turn when they are OOP, or call your flop bet almost forcing you to bet the turn or to check/call their turn bet when you are OOP?
I guess, situations where betting is going not going to fold better hands because it's so dry and your opponent knows that, and creates a risk where you might later have to fold the best hand or put more money in with the worst hand?
Eg. a couple of days ago, $100nl FR, bvb, SB completes, I raise, he calls. Flop is extremely dry, he checks, I bet, he checkraises, I fold.
A lot of people like bluffing at dry boards, just because it's so difficult for you to have anything. If I bet a K-3-3 flop, what could
call a checkraise? AA. AK. KK. A3s, if that's in my range. The rest of my range is just dying to give up as soon as possible. So yeah, check back (or check/call) a lot of your medium strength hands, and bet all your monsters and hope they try to strong-arm you out of the pot. Slowplaying dry boards, versus certain opponents, can be a huge mistake. The one thing to remember when playing monsters fast on a dry board is to make sure to leave the last bet to your opponent; give him a sense that he has fold equity with his last raise, because otherwise he'll just give up. Getting someone to put in their entire stack bluffing and drawing dead on the flop is one of the sexiest feelings in poker.
But yeah, you're going to get bluffed out of the pot on dry boards sometimes. It happens; just fold and move on. In most cases, all you've invested is a preflop raise and a (smaller than average) c-bet. Not many players are wild enough to actually exploit you in that spot, because it requires a lot of raises and, really, people are so happy when they get to pull it off once in a blue moon. And remember, it doesn't cost much to fold on the flop.
Specifically because so many players single-barrel dry flops, floating them with the intention of stealing the pot when you get checked to on the turn works very often. As mentioned elsewhere, I prefer to make that floating range something that has at least a decent backdoor draw. So basically:
You have Js9s on the button and flat a CO open. Blinds fold. Flop comes
Pretty good spot to call a bet. You have backdoor flush and straight draws, and because of the board texture, many opponents will have serious doubts about betting the turn without having some piece of it. This play comes easily balanced, too (at least for me) because you can easily have AQ/KQ/QJ when you call the flop, and you will (should) bet the turn when checked to. If he gets fancy and checkraises the turn, just muck (also with the top pair hands). Not many people will do that without a real hand, and the times that it happens will not outweigh the times that the float works out for you.
I'm getting a little off-topic from bet sizing here, but... Meh.