Originally Posted by BLieve
Yes this is one part of my game I definitely need work on. At the moment I still dont understand the benefits of stealing with a wide range. The most beneficial scenario that comes out of stealing is picking up 4bb with a cbet whether you hit or not. I would say this only happens about 33% (guestimate) of the time. Another 33% of the time I would say you bet 4bb to win 1.5 bb pf and this is successful. I will say the final 33% of the time someone 3bets pf and you fold or they call your cbet when you missed.
What I hate the most about raising with hands like 33 and KT is there are so few outs for improvement after the flop if you miss. Someone please explain to me the benefits of stealing more and where the money comes from.
We generally measure success in terms of BB/100, and a winrate of 3.5 BB/100 is pretty good at 50nl+. If we can increase our winrate by 1.5BB/100 (in other words, every 100 hands our steals net off into equiv of one successful steal), we're doing pretty well - this turns a b/e player into a winning player.
Reading opponents in the blinds (and BTN if you're CO) is important. If Villain defends his blinds as infrequently as you do, you should be opening literally
ATC as BTN. If Villain calls a lot of 3bets but folds alot to cbets, even better than the guy who doesn't defend his blinds.
Stealing w position (CO, BTN) allows you a lot of flexibility on the flop if you get called. What is getting flatted in the blinds pf? Did the flop hit those kinds of hands? What kind of showdown value do I have? What kind of draws do I have that I can be agg w on the turn as well as the flop? All these factor into whether you cbet, and at 25nl/50nl, you should err on the side of cbetting too often than too little. And the real key thought - the flop probably missed Villain, betting at him will make it difficult for him to play correctly oop.
Sounds to me like you're playing your cards postflop more than Villain - this will get harder to do successfully as you move up and players get more sophisticated. Not an issue at 50nl, but you'll want to start thinking about it, alot of 100nl regs are also 50nl regs on PS (not sure about other sites).