Other thoughts that I should have considered?

J

JfourG

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Hey all, I was hoping someone could shed some light on a hand in a 1-2 NLHE cash game. I play this table a lot due to the tremendous amount of dead money on the weekends. I was disgusted after this hand so I just left before I acted like a fool. I am wondering if I should have thought of other things during this hand in order not to of lost couple hundred dollars. Here goes.

I am in the BB with Kd Kh. UTG raises to $4 then it folds to the button (villain) who calls. it folds to me. I make it $12, UTG calls, BTN calls. Flop is 8d 2d 6h. I bet $25 into a $36 pot. UTG folds, BTN Calls. Turn card is 5c. I bet $70 into an $86 pot. BTN shoves, I have about $70 behind. I call. Villain shows 7c 4c.

After the flop the 7c 4c has a little less than 20% to hit his 5. Me betting $25 into $36 gave him a little less than 2 and a half to one odds. If you account for implied odds his $25 call could get him $140 is about 5 to 1. But even with the correct implied odds to call, why would he just call pre flop? I mean 4c 7c is not a calling hand let alone a 3 bet call. And he could not be thinking he was trapping with that hand pre flop let alone after he only had 4 outs to win post flop.

Here is my thought process. My $12 raise and UTG calling, I'm thinking he has either pocket pair of deuces through 8's Ax suited, maybe suited connectors such as 9 10 - 10 J - J Q - maybe KJ or KQ. He min raised pre then called $8 more so I can't give him credit for any high pocket pair.

I give the same range to the BTN, but giving him credit for pocket pair up to 10's or maybe Jacks. I cant put him on Q's or A's because he would have raised pre flop.

When the flop comes and I bet $25 and UTG folds, and BTN calls I think that if the BTN hit a set of 8's 6's or 2's he would have raised my $25. I don't think he has 2 pair because he should not have called a 3 bet pre flop with 8 6 - 8 2 - or 6 2. I do think that he could have diamonds because he just called and didn't raise my $25 bet. So my adjusted range for villain is Ax diamonds with a strong possibility for him to have Ad2d Ad6 Ad8. But 9d 10d and 10d Jd or Qd Jd are possibilities. I don't put him on pocket pairs lower than Jacks anymore because I don't see how he could have called the $25 with 4 4 thru 10 10 or the pre flop raise with 2 2 thru 9 9. Plus he has to be trying to put me on a hand too, so with my pre flop raise I guess he should think that have a range of any pair to high suited connectors or AK thru A10. With my $25 bet he should adjust his range for me to diamonds or a set of 8's maybe 6's and that tells me his $25 call after the flop could just be a float in case another diamond hits, and he has the diamonds.

When the turn comes a 5c, I feel it's a blank based on the range I've assigned him, so I bet $70 and that should tell him I have either AA-10 or 88 possibly or even 55, in which case he has me beat, but he should even think that Ax of diamonds or maybe Kx of diamonds is still a possibility and if so, his shove here tells me he could be attempting to protect his hand rather than betting for value. So I adjust my range for him again to A8, A6, A5, or Ax of diamonds. But he should know that with only $70 behind, I am going to call his shove, so even though he turned the straight, he is still susceptible to lose if in fact I have diamonds. So I thought why would he shove; the only thing I could think of was to try to get me to fold which made my float theory make sense to me. That play seems to me like he is trying to protect a straight from a river diamond too, but I wasn't sure why he would put me on a diamond draw, the only reason that play makes sense is to get me off a flush draw because he already had the straight. I thought of the only possible straights with that board would be 4 7 or 7 9. In my thought process I would have never thought he would play 7 4 or 7 9, and even if he did, why would he chase for the only card that gets him there. A 5 only lets him win. And if he was on a diamond draw, why raise my turn bet? Why not just call, and if he hits it then he could possibly stack me, but if his draw missed he would have lost the minimum. Why risk me calling his raise if he was the one on a diamond draw? So the only thing that made sense was a straight, but I thought there is no way he is playing 4 7 or 7 9, it would be too risky; so I called only to see that in fact he did play those trash cards to chase for a five.

Is my rationale off?

Any insight is appreciated.
 
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DaReKa

DaReKa

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With those effective stacks there was no reason to bet so big on the turn. It's hard to fold after you bet the flop and turn hard in a 3 bet, multiway pot.
Sizing is the big problem. 3bet more pre, and bet smaller post flop. You can still get all the money in by the river if you want
 
LD1977

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He has two cards and they are sooted. That is the end of his thinking process preflop.

On the flop, he has a gutshot and if that isn't a premium holding that I dunno what is.

3bet more preflop BTW, you are OOP vs 2 players.

Don't range fish, it is no use.
 
D

docdrew

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Most of the 1-2 cash games that I've been in recently are pretty fishy as well. As the other two posters stated, your pre-flop action should be a bit heavier especially when you will be out of position post flop. After the flop maybe bet 1/2 the pot instead of 2/3. Smaller bet will still get the same results without getting you so invested you can't get away from the hand. In the end KK is a big hand but still just one pair. With just an over pair I tend to bet for value more than trying to get all my chips in the middle. Tough spot but in the long run you want his call. Hope you get your run good back.
 
Mr Sandbag

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He has two cards and they are sooted. That is the end of his thinking process preflop.

On the flop, he has a gutshot and if that isn't a premium holding that I dunno what is.

3bet more preflop BTW, you are OOP vs 2 players.

Don't range fish, it is no use.

^This.

I play 1/2 live almost exclusively, and ranging a gambler is nonsense. They don't think about poker like we do. They sit down, play every hand, and hope they get lucky on a couple of them. When deciding whether or not to chase a draw, they don't look at the pot size relative to your bet size, they think "$25 isn't that expensive, sure I'll chase." You have to remember, if someone is willing to play 7-4 to a preflop 3bet, they're not going to be folding when they "only need one more card for a straight."

The only thing you can do to better your reads against these players is pay attention to when and why they raise/shove. A lot of them are only going to be shoving with huge hands. So when this situation comes up again, you can almost pinpoint the trash they played and make good folds.

Good luck at the tables, and stay off tilt! I know what these fish can do to someone, first hand...
 
J

JfourG

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Thanks everyone. BTW was my ranging thought process flawed? I'm curious because I will have the same thought process in the future.

Also, it was said to bet more pre flop due to position; I actually thought to do that, but then figured that I want callers. Not that I was greedy, but KK is too good a holding to just rake the $9 pre flop. Thanks again.
 
LD1977

LD1977

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Sizing 3bets is a general thing and not dependent on cards. If you only take the blinds, so be it. Small 3bets reward all sorts of speculative hands, especially PPs (sets).

Your ranging process is flawed since you assume the opponent has similar ranges to your own - unless you really know him well you can't be so precise.

Assume everybody is loose passive fish until they prove otherwise. Sooted crap is favored among the fish population, which means random 2P hands and random straights are all possible.

Larger 3bets make them pay more per missed hand - this is where you make your money. When they hit you will lose always the whole stack with this line so this part of the equation does not matter. Additional few bb's per won hand add up quickly.
 
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