If I played you 100 times for $50 a hand, youd be broke. Sure! Lets play that hand 100 times and we'll see who goes broke..84.4% to win with that flop vs his hand...
84.1% at the turn..
50 bucks for you and I'll be nice to round down..16 wins.. Gives you 800 dollars... 50 bucks for me at 84 wins.. Gives me 4200... You sure about who would go broke??
But explanation is forth coming.. wasn't worried about 88's or 44's, reason being 1:8 to hit a set... and 1:16 for a pocket pair?(correct me if I am wrong on that one) If those beat me.. Then nobody to blame but myself..Flush draw at most to worry about..the Nut flush was the most to worry about.
Now previously I wasn't in 17 hands straight.. mostly folded.. no making a move or nothing..
Table: 22 (Real Money) Seat #9 is the dealer
Seat 1 - ITSMEPEANUT2 ($3770 in chips)
Seat 2 - CJAGS ($1360 in chips)
Seat 3 - DRAGON68 ($2235 in chips)
Seat 4 - MANKILLLER ($3180 in chips)
Seat 5 - POKERDADDY21 ($1065 in chips)
Seat 6 - KEVCATH ($8840 in chips)
Seat 7 - SEALIFE ($4960 in chips)
Seat 8 - TWIZZYBOP ($1525 in chips)
Seat 9 - CASINOBOY2 ($1970 in chips)
ITSMEPEANUT2 - Posts small blind $30
CJAGS - Posts big blind $60
*** POCKET CARDS ***
Dealt to TWIZZYBOP [Jd Ah]
DRAGON68 - Folds
MANKILLLER - Folds
POKERDADDY21 - Calls $60
KEVCATH - Calls $60
SEALIFE - Calls $60
TWIZZYBOP - Calls $60
CASINOBOY2 - Folds
ITSMEPEANUT2 - Calls $30
CJAGS - Checks
*** FLOP *** [Ad 8c 2h]
ITSMEPEANUT2 - Checks
CJAGS - Checks
POKERDADDY21 - Checks
KEVCATH - Checks
SEALIFE - Checks
TWIZZYBOP - Bets $360
ITSMEPEANUT2 - Folds
CJAGS - Folds
POKERDADDY21 - Folds
KEVCATH - Folds
SEALIFE - Folds
TWIZZYBOP - returned ($360) : not called
*** SHOW DOWN ***
TWIZZYBOP - Shows [Jd Ah] (One pair, aces)
TWIZZYBOP Collects $360 from main pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Board [Ad 8c 2h]
Seat 1: ITSMEPEANUT2 (small blind) Folded on the FLOP
Seat 2: CJAGS (big blind) Folded on the FLOP
Seat 3: DRAGON68 Folded on the POCKET CARDS
Seat 4: MANKILLLER Folded on the POCKET CARDS
Seat 5: POKERDADDY21 Folded on the FLOP
Seat 6: KEVCATH Folded on the FLOP
Seat 7: SEALIFE Folded on the FLOP
Seat 8: TWIZZYBOP collected Total ($360) HI$360) with One pair, aces [Jd Ah - P:Ah,B:Ad,P:Jd,B:8c,B:2h]
Seat 9: CASINOBOY2 (dealer) Folded on the POCKET CARDS
What if someone has 88's, 22's A,Q or A,K.. A,rag(2 or the 8)..
Bluff at hand 19? Not even remotely possible..and while I was folding, folding and folding. Taking notes on the other players..
Show strength finally on hand 18.Barely playing a single hand..I am not going to start all of a sudden limping in with rags.. I say look I have strength.. and I did with an 84% of winning...
So my notes with my previously play and very obvious style puts me to push onto the underdog to beat me with a 84% to win. Since the hand wins way more then not. I would now change my bet again.. 1st time bet the pot, 2nd time all-in, 3rd time either I check or bet a BB bet. Mix my bets up so you'll never know what I'll have. I will even BB bet the flop, the turn, and the river to show I am scared to bet a strong hand.
Never ever the same style in any game. Like yesterday in that MTT I was in.. not getting any cards what so ever. Watching the board and the players, a little note here and there. A's kept coming for about 6 hands straight on the flop.. Thought about the 30% that an ace comes on the river. Now took a chance on those %'s with a 6,5 suited in the BB. Felt a steal from someone holding ace rag. Went all in and doubled up cause I hit a six.. no aces came and his rag didn't even pair up.
So game after this one.. I limped in no matter what I had for 5 hands straight.. I never play the same complete style twice in a row.
I have that hand again and go all-in with top pair and you hit a set on the flop while I hit a set. Congratulations.. you beat me with the better hand, so you played the hand correctly and I didn't. Yet the %'s are with me, 1:8 that you don't have a set.