re: Poker & Multi-Level Thinking: Experience needed
I read your entire post and understood it perfectly. You did say that they weren't correct but you could have at least made them a little more accurate. Allow me to enlighten you.
The levels you stated in your post doesn't even cover most of the things you should think about when your playing. It should look more like this...
Level 0: ALL IN!!! I hope I win.
Level 1: What do I have?
Level 2: What do I have? + What position am I in?
Level 3: What do I have? + What position am I in? + What I think my opponent has?
Level 4: What do I have? + What position am I in? + What I think my opponent has? + Do I have odds
Just because you are playing micro stakes doesn't mean that you should only be thinking 1 level above your opponent. The higher your level of thinking the more of an advantage you will have against others. This is not always the case though. For example if you want to steal the pot and your opponent is a fish that doesn't even know what pot odds
are then the size of the raise doesn't matter, in that case you would determine if you want to bluff by how he has played other hands. If the opponent calls every bet and every raise and if you are considering a bluff then obviously the bluff is a bad idea because he is a calling station, on the other hand if the opponent is too tight then you can min raise as a bluff to take the pot down because in that case it would be the right move.