Hmmm, so here are the ranges. I'm not bothering w the fh (and yeah, I see that the fh + low is impossible, duh ).
Stud Hi/Lo Simulation What's this?
600,000 trials (Randomized)
Hand Equity Scoops
5c 2s | 6d 8h 7s 57.60% 159,655
LL, BB, 99+, *d *d | Ad Ah 5s 42.40% 68,215
I think I'm being generous to our hand by giving him broadway cards in the hole? But even removing them keeps us as a 56/44 favorite, and scooping 2/3 of the time. So this is a clear raise for value on fifth street, right?
If we make our straight on 6th or 7th, we become a huge favorite against that range even if he picks up a low card or the case A, so we're shoveling money in the pot. We can't be beat both ways if we make our straight, right? And there's a very strong chance we're scooping. So no need to worry if he starts capping?
If we brick 6th and he picks up any low card, his hand becomes a 61/39 favorite and scoops 75% of the time, so in that event we would call 6th given pot odds
. If we brick 7th as well, we can't find a fold given pot odds, can we?
fwiw, I'm having problems w propokertools, some of the controls on the page won't work in my browser - so, for example, no dead cards are included in the sim, I'm also unable to input more than 2 hands. I'm going to post in SQA and see if one of the computer gurus has a suggestion...