Originally Posted by blueskies
SB check raised to 59c into a pot of 32c. (On flop, SB checked, BB bet 4c into 12c. I reraised to 16c)
He showed 68 (nut straight) after BB and I folded.
I just went with my gut. With how passively he had played up to that point I just didnít think he would make that move with just a draw. He could have limped in with a big overpair, but I donít think he check raises the flop with an overpair.
I didnít think it was a bad laydown given how he had played up to that point. I normally have problems letting a strong hand go even if my gut says my hand was no good.
This topic comes up from time to time. The answer is always the same. Unless the player shows you his cards before you fold its a mistake to fold a set with 100bb stacks.
Basically you save the odd stack when you are correct but loose far more than you save with all the bad laydowns.. most of the time the set will be the best hand.
So if you look at this hand in isolation, sure its the right thing to do, but if you look at this hand as part of an overall strategy, its a strategy with a lower EV than one where we dont fold sets.
And since winning poker is not results orientated, we cant say well done because this type of lay-down is reducing your win-rate not increasing it.
Do you understand?