Is it just my bad luck!!

A

AG04CAS

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This is exclusively related to SKY Poker.

I, until recently, played on this site - over the last year I have a win rate of 46bb/100 at 4p tables


have played over 200k hands.


I am not saying the site is rigged i dont believe it for 1 second.


Here are my stats for AA


out of the 200k hands I have had AA 400ish times below expected frequency but I am rather glad about it


Here is the kicker - out of those 400 hands I have won 0 :eek::eek::eek::eek::eek:


I knew something was wrong but didnt realise until I did my year end stats for Sky...Sky is difficult to get your hands ftom and it involves a lot of manual labour to get them into my tracker....but I take my poker seriously:D:D


A part of my bb win rate on this site is now down to folding AA when I get them and happy to say the losses would have continued if I did not fold them.


I have moved sites now as I have moved up stakes and the new site is better at the higher level for my game.


Am I just cursed on this site and have any of you experienced something similar over a large sample size?
 
jashiggs

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400 times. And 0 wins? Surely not??? 😂😂
 
C

clasrasmusso

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its this true
 
IamVALHALLA

IamVALHALLA

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The odds of losing 400-0 with AA must be astronomical. Probably a number that can't even be pronounced... I find this hard to believe.
 
vapandrei

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I honestly do not believe it. On the off chance it's true (but AGAIN, I don't think it is) you should make a dossier with the official stats and let the worms out of the can because it really, really, really means it's RIGGED.

Again and for the last time, I believe you're either lying or you are just under the impression you never won with bullets when in reality, the shock of getting your aces cracked once, takes precedence over the last 10 times you won with them.

PS: Unless you folded all the 400 hands, in which case.. carry on..
 
IamVALHALLA

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Losing 10 in a row would be hard to believe.
40? Getting really far-fetched.
400? Not a chance in Hell unless you're losing on purpose (folding).
 
J

JRNorris95

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I think you are misinterpreting that 400:0 win statistic. Surely you have won hands, even if that means everyone else folds. Maybe it's just that you have won 0 times at showdown. If this is the case, then its important to know how many times you have gone to showdown with AA.
 
J

JRNorris95

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If you think your results are grossly improbable, then maybe you should post your hand histories. It is often easy to lose sight of what is statistically probable when you are on the losing side of chance.
 
B

braveslice

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You have been dealt AA around 904 times during 200k hands, and 400 hands is quite far from that. So my guess is that your data digging went wrong. That happens to me at least like always :/

So you have lost 400/904 = 44%, winning 56% of hands with aces that is still bad :D but if most hands are multiway this is not world ending statistically.
 
nitulbhatia

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AA is the best hand preflop, and you lost 400 out of 400 times with it. Odd and very strange.
 
terryk

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,,,and i thought i was on a bad run,,,,lol :D
 
Rvstam

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You may wrongly played his AA. Chances are you limping player who goes fishing with his AA and eventually catches no fish and shark.
 
quick

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Losing 10 in a row would be hard to believe.
40? Getting really far-fetched.
400? Not a chance in Hell unless you're losing on purpose (folding).


My guess is that OP's problem here is that they're not folding enough on purpose. Likely seeing their AA go to showdown when it's crushed rather so probably that they get AA, play it well preflop, get post flop and get drawn out on frequently not being able to let their pair go.
 
starting_at_the_bottom

starting_at_the_bottom

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I play at Sky poker.

I can confirm its 100% legit.

There are some very weak players and the games can get crazy late at night which could result in high variance, but I doubt OP lost AA 400 times in a row.
 
Poker Orifice

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OH COME ON YOU GUYS!!! PUH-LEEEEEEEEASE! Are you all really that gullible??? I mean REALLY!!?!??!?!? Think about it.. this is ABSOLUTE B.S. and utterly ridiculous!!!!

Maybe he's losing now seeing as he states his winrate is what it is because of folding AA (LOL at folding AA).


Only thing I'm not sure about is....
a) this guy (OP) is either an absolute whackjob (<< highly likely imo)


b) he is trolling (< also a high probability)
 
ruswolfhound

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it's just like bad luck, how can you explain that I won 70% of spin, n, go tables. But at one point, such moves began that I myself am in shock
 
Luvart

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Here are my stats for AA

out of the 200k hands I have had AA 400ish times below expected frequency but I am rather glad about it

Here is the kicker - out of those 400 hands I have won 0 :eek::eek::eek::eek::eek:

It's utterly impossible. Statistically impossible. This doesn't exist.

Even at a small unknown mafia scam site they would rig the RNG in order to give you a bunch of wins with AA.

The Skybet company poker is a big, well-respectd sports betting company in the UK, they couldn't do any kind of those silly things.

Screeshot?
 
Andrei Korolev

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With AA and 0 it's just out of the fantasy world, I'm surprised...
 
D

darpblog

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I'm pretty sure I wouldn't have needed a tracker to notice that I had never won with aces. That's what's harder to believe about your story.
 
WhereDidMyEVGo

WhereDidMyEVGo

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I'm pretty sure I wouldn't have needed a tracker to notice that I had never won with aces. That's what's harder to believe about your story.
Well, the 46bb/100 winrate is equally hard to believe.
 
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