T
TopFuel
Enthusiast
Silver Level
Hi
This is a situation that occurs quite a lot now in my game. Having played more than a million online hands I have got quite good at "Knowing" what they have got yet despite that I still carry on and don't act according to what my intuition is telling me.
In this particular hand as soon as the 10 comes in on the turn and he raises my turn bet, I say to myself "He's got KQ" not he could have KQ but he HAS got KQ. However I shove over the top of him because I am thinking I have two pair and I can still beat him if I hit a J or A on the river for a boat.
It plays out and what did he have?......KQ
I needless to say didn't make my boat.
I am quite sure that there are probably multiple mistakes here but I don't feel I can fold in this situation given that A) I don't actually KNOW he has KQ for the nut straight B) I might make my full house to beat him.
Would really like to know what more experienced and much better players than me think about this.
Thanks
Mike
PokerStars - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 8 players
http://[/FONThttp://www.pokertracker.com Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
MP: 89 BB (VPIP: 13.51, PFR: 5.79, 3Bet Preflop: 2.48, Hands: 790)
MP+1: 134.5 BB (VPIP: 13.44, PFR: 12.65, 3Bet Preflop: 2.20, Hands: 256)
CO: 110.5 BB (VPIP: 19.75, PFR: 12.95, 3Bet Preflop: 4.07, Hands: 1,237)
BTN: 101 BB (VPIP: 65.00, PFR: 40.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
SB: 42.5 BB (VPIP: 38.10, PFR: 4.76, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 10.33, PFR: 5.54, 3Bet Preflop: 0.55, Hands: 525)
UTG: 98 BB (VPIP: 26.67, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 30)
Hero (UTG+1): 100 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J<font color='red'>♥</font> A<font color='red'>♥</font>
fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, fold, BTN calls 4 BB, fold, fold
Flop: (9.5 BB, 2 players) 7<font color='red'>♥</font> A<font color='black'>♣</font> J<font color='black'>♣</font>
Hero bets 7 BB, BTN calls 7 BB
Turn: (23.5 BB, 2 players) T<font color='red'>♦</font>
Hero bets 17 BB, BTN raises to 34 BB, Hero raises to 89 BB and is all-in, BTN calls 55 BB
River: (201.5 BB, 2 players) 5<font color='red'>♦</font>
Hero shows J<font color='red'>♥</font> A<font color='red'>♥</font> (Two Pair, Aces and Jacks)
(Pre 62%, Flop 81%, Turn 9%)
BTN shows Q<font color='black'>♣</font> K<font color='red'>♦</font> (Straight, Ace High)
(Pre 38%, Flop 19%, Turn 91%)
BTN wins 194.5 BB
This is a situation that occurs quite a lot now in my game. Having played more than a million online hands I have got quite good at "Knowing" what they have got yet despite that I still carry on and don't act according to what my intuition is telling me.
In this particular hand as soon as the 10 comes in on the turn and he raises my turn bet, I say to myself "He's got KQ" not he could have KQ but he HAS got KQ. However I shove over the top of him because I am thinking I have two pair and I can still beat him if I hit a J or A on the river for a boat.
It plays out and what did he have?......KQ
I needless to say didn't make my boat.
I am quite sure that there are probably multiple mistakes here but I don't feel I can fold in this situation given that A) I don't actually KNOW he has KQ for the nut straight B) I might make my full house to beat him.
Would really like to know what more experienced and much better players than me think about this.
Thanks
Mike
PokerStars - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 8 players
http://[/FONThttp://www.pokertracker.com Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
MP: 89 BB (VPIP: 13.51, PFR: 5.79, 3Bet Preflop: 2.48, Hands: 790)
MP+1: 134.5 BB (VPIP: 13.44, PFR: 12.65, 3Bet Preflop: 2.20, Hands: 256)
CO: 110.5 BB (VPIP: 19.75, PFR: 12.95, 3Bet Preflop: 4.07, Hands: 1,237)
BTN: 101 BB (VPIP: 65.00, PFR: 40.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
SB: 42.5 BB (VPIP: 38.10, PFR: 4.76, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 10.33, PFR: 5.54, 3Bet Preflop: 0.55, Hands: 525)
UTG: 98 BB (VPIP: 26.67, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 30)
Hero (UTG+1): 100 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J<font color='red'>♥</font> A<font color='red'>♥</font>
fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, fold, BTN calls 4 BB, fold, fold
Flop: (9.5 BB, 2 players) 7<font color='red'>♥</font> A<font color='black'>♣</font> J<font color='black'>♣</font>
Hero bets 7 BB, BTN calls 7 BB
Turn: (23.5 BB, 2 players) T<font color='red'>♦</font>
Hero bets 17 BB, BTN raises to 34 BB, Hero raises to 89 BB and is all-in, BTN calls 55 BB
River: (201.5 BB, 2 players) 5<font color='red'>♦</font>
Hero shows J<font color='red'>♥</font> A<font color='red'>♥</font> (Two Pair, Aces and Jacks)
(Pre 62%, Flop 81%, Turn 9%)
BTN shows Q<font color='black'>♣</font> K<font color='red'>♦</font> (Straight, Ace High)
(Pre 38%, Flop 19%, Turn 91%)
BTN wins 194.5 BB
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