How do I trust myself?
Wall of text incoming, kudos to the ones who read and answer.
Lately I've been going up and down while playing 2 & 5nl. Had a big downswing the other day with -30$, and probably only myself to blame making loose calls and spewing off chips with 2nd best hand oop.
Anyway, sat down at the tables again today when I've had a good night's sleep and really focused. Played my standard 8 tables zoom but this time I really asked myself why I was raising and how I would get max value when holding the nuts.
Played around 10k hands and managed to find a profit of $90 (24bb/100) by sticking to my solid TAG-play.
My question here is: Can I trust myself that I am a winning player?
Total this year I've played:
180k hands on 5nl 3bb/100 ($150 under EV lol)
240k hands on 2nl 6bb/100
10k hands on 10nl - down $62 (next time I'm stepping up is w. 40 BI)
I sure have developed as a player, looking back at the first 100k hands of 2nl or so I wasn't really thinking about my decisions, just playing standard abc-poker.
But these "downswings" or whatever, I know they are self induced - so that's what I am trying to work on.
So how do I go from here to improve? Do I trust my stats and play like I use to (also working on the tilt/spew issue), or should I try a different approach?