HEM2 - Races
After my first big downswing things normalized a bit but now I have hit another one (-7.5 buyins in 500 hands. Yup, I am the man.).
I tried analyzing if the problem is luck or am I really that bad so I took a look at "Races" tab under "Reports" in HEM2.
Turns out my "Net won USD"*** in races is 105.05$ while total "$ (EV adjusted)" is 74.49$.
So, difference between those two is 30.56$.
*** My actual total "Net Won USD" is 55.72$ over 31k hands for around 9 bb/100 win rate after the horrible beating I took last night.
Does that mean I have:
- been unlucky since I should have won 30.56$ more while going All In
- been unlucky since I should have won 74.49$ more while going All In
- the other way around
I have now played 31k hands so this is not completely short term thing and the difference in numbers if we look at percentage is huge.
Besides I need to know if I have been exceptionally lucky (= I need to really dig into my decision making when stacking off) or unlucky (= I still need to improve but I am not that horrible right now).
Thanks for input.