HELPFUL TIPS !!!

spiderman637

spiderman637

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In the internet poker book from matthew hilger you can find some
nice facts (given in a percentual chance to occur)

3 suited flops 5%
2 suited flops 55%
A will flop when u hold KK 23%
A or K will flop when u hold QQ 43%
A or K or Q flop when u hold JJ 59%
Makin a flush with suited hole cards 6%
Completing a flush draw at river 1,8 to 1
Set on flop completing to full house 33%
22 beats AK offsuit 53%

it looks quite boring on the fist view but there is some important strategic
help knowin at least the most important propabilities.
eg. you are shortstacked and preflop in a hand with a single opponent,
so u half more than 50% to win ur all in with 22 against any unpaired hand / go for it!
or even a pocket pair of jacks is powerful and looks nice its NOT a hand
to make an all in when u are not very desperate to double up / for example in beginning of a tourney if 4 players call your all in its almost
sure that ull be beaten by a higher pair.
eg. u are on a 2 suited flop and hit ur set with ur pocket pair. dont be
too scared of the flush cause u still have good 30% to make your full
by the river.
eg. u are holdin suited hole cards *9,10spades for example, and 2 overcards come along with ur flush draw on the flop. dont fold to any
raises as u have a good chance to make ur flush by the river
 
thepokerkid123

thepokerkid123

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There are a couple of things there that I disagree with.

You should be scared of a flush when you flop a set, and you should fold to big bets when you're drawing. Both are 1 in 3 which aren't bad odds, you want to stick around but don't want to pay much to do so. There are of course implied odds to consider, which for the set making a full house are actually quite good, but the implied odds for making a flush usually aren't that good.

A lot of people have trouble folding a set to a flush on the flop simply because "even if he's got it, I'm a 1 in 3 chance to outdraw him" but putting your chips in with the worst hand is bad, regardless of how huge that worst hand might be.

Also, jacks are a very good hand, even a very good hand to shove with.
Yes, an A, K or Q will hit the flop 59% of the time, but your opponent hasn't hit! Sometimes...
It all comes down to a read, but usually these big cards are easiest to read anyway, if you put him on AK or AQ and an overcard hits, you're not in that bad shape. If the A hits, you've got to fold, if the K or Q hits, then it's 50% that he's hit.
Now extend his range to AJ, AT, and medium to large pocket pairs. The A is again that horrible card that you've got to avoid, because it's the most likely he'll hold in big pot, but the K or Q really shouldn't have you running scared, unless he plays back at you.

Here's what you need to know to play jacks well.
The chances of hitting on the flop with unpaired hole cards are 1 in 3.
In a raised pot, his range is fairly obvious so if it hits hard, it's an easy fold.
Watch out for big pocket pairs, they will be your downfall far more than overcards.


Are those percentages for 22 and AK right? I'm not sure if he just used the odds of a pocket pair vs AK. I know 22 has a fair chance of being beaten by the board, so it might throw it off a bit. Doesn't matter all that much, in a tournament when you're desperate and looking for any ace to make your stand, when 22 comes along you're shoving. After considering the chances of stealing the blinds, it's the right play.
Keep in mind though that 22 doesn't play well. Against unpaired hole cards, you're ahead especially on the flop, but there are pocket pairs to worry about too so there's a good chance you're going to have to play to hit your set or fold, or bluff. Remember also that your chances of being against higher pockets are much higher with 2's than 8's, this is a big problem.
 
T

turby

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Remember your reads can be way off. You're a real dog if u get called by a bigger pocket rather than Ax cards if your read is off.

This was a mistake I have made many a time in the past and I see many ppl donking off chips. It's all fine in theory.. but try testing in the field.
 
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