gordon's LGB - BOW's game theory
in the little green book, gordon talks about the biggest online winner (BOW) and his strategy:
1. get in the pot cheaply
2. massively overbet with a premium draw
3. massively overbet with the nuts
he then gives an example hand: we are holding AK, the flop is Ad 7s 6s. there is $500 in the pot. BOW moves all-in for another $5000.
he then proceeds to show a table of his possible holdings (77, 10s8s, 85o, and 59o). the total average pot equity for BOW is $21724 and ours is $20726. this gives BOW a positive expectation of around $250 each hand.
sure, the math is right, but i think gordon over-simplified too many variables to manipulate this example and give it a positive expectation. for example, how often you flop premium hands vs. premium draws, and people picking up on this strategy. i mean this guy is supposedly the BEST PLAYER ONLINE! and this is his strategy? it seems a little disappointing to me...