Good read or just lucky.
Just wanted to get people's opinion of a hand I played recently.
It's a 50c/$1 NL Holdem game, 7 at the table. I'm in the SB and dealt A6off.
Two limpers, myself and BB see the flop for the min.
A65 rainbow flops.
I bet $1, fold from the BB, first limper raises to $2, second limper goes all in for $4.
I, thinking that the second limper all in was desparation, raised $8 to try to isolate. The first limper re-raises another $8.
So I go into the tank. He didn't raise pre-flop so he's slow playing or has some sort of connector or suited or low-medium pair.
Suited can't be cause the flop was rainbow, no one would bet like that hopeing for runner-runner.
Connector, maybe, but why would you re-raise on at best an open-ended draw. I really doubt he's drawing.
Low-Medium pair is possible. He could have flopped a set. But the betting pattern isn't right. Why only raise $1 on top of me, if he had a set it should have been more. Also, that second raise is odd too, if he had a set then why not all in?
Conclusion, he has A with a big kicker(K-J) and thinks it's good.
I CALL! (Lage pot now)
Turn brings a KING!!!! (GOD DAMN IT)
So, me being in early position and thinking he likely has a bigger 2 pair, I CHECK.
He bets $11 into what is now a $30-$40 pot.
I go into the tank again. What is with this guy? If he hit with the King why not a bigger bet(he has $30 before the $11 bet, about the same as me)? Why not all in? This small to medium bet just doesn't seem right. Conclusion: He still has A big (Q-J) and isn't afraid of the king, nor does he have it.
I CALL. (Big pot now approx $50)
River is a 8.
This brings the possible straight, but I'm confident that he doesn't have it.
Being unsure of exactly the strength of my 2 pair. I CHECK.
He NOW goes all in (about $19-15) bet. I only have about $11-13 to call with.
Again, I go in the tank. This smells of a desparation bet to me, he's hoping that I missed whatever I was going for and either fold or call with Ace rag. I still think he's got AQ or AJ, and I likely him beat.
I CALL ALL IN.
The software shows the cards really fast and shoves chips to both him and me (and not the all in guy). I look at my total and it's sitting at $80.
I WON THE MAIN POT!
How did he get chips? What did he have?
Well, his all in was $2 more than mine, so he was returned that $2. I beat the all in player (he had garbage) and beat the other guy.
I look at the history, it shows me that he had 56off.
Now all of his betting makes sence. He flopped 2 pair as I did, and was fearful of the set, but fairly confident 2 pair was the top hand.
So, my read, although close, was INCORRECT. But I did take down a huge pot.
My question is....... was it a good read? or just a lucky one?