Originally Posted by GWU73
Folding too often is a significant leak but calling a 3bet to play fit or fold on the flop is throwing money away. If you have a strong hand or feel confident you can steal the pot fairly often calling can be ok, especially in position. 4betting is often better than calling, especially out of position. Just pick your spots.
I'm leaning towards 4b, but I hate 4b/fold so I'm thinking maybe just 4b shove?
This kinda sucks too though....
As far as I can calculate, in a standard 10NL spot say I open to 3BB w/ AQo front the BTN, SB 3bs me to 9BB, I 4b to 22BB;
-I'm risking $2.20 to win $1.30
-Assuming I always fold to a 5b shove, i need to get him to fold 65%+ to show profit.
- I hate 4b shoving pre because I'm virtually always drawn dead if I get called here, it's always QQ+/AK
I will mainly be doing my 4b bluffing in BTNvInd spots, and therefore looking at positional 3b stats, ie I assume ones 3b in SB stat is going to as wide if not wider than indicated vs a BTN open. So if this stat is like ~10% its theoretically profitable, assuming vils 5b shove range is like JJ+, AK and he folds everything else, however this is not the case. From experience, I get called here by AK AQs, 77-JJ a lot, and consequently am not sure how to proceed on virtually Any board.
Obv any kind of equity on any flip I'm bet/shoving, maybe even open shoving if I like it more. Blank flops I'm prob doing the same.
Any thoughts on my aforementioned logic slash lack thereof? Lol