Originally Posted by remus_ny
Hi guys. I play 2nl 9max, table selection A LOT. In the last 14k hands I'm breaking even!! I am very frustrated. Is this a downswing or I play bad? (HM2 shows that I'm a TAG - 41k hands). I've posted my stats and graph. Can you see some leaks or something? I wanted next week to move up to 5nl because I have 30BI but now I don't know what to do. After 14K hands my profit is 0! On the last 14kh my winrate drop down from 22 to 10bb/100! If you can give me some advise! Sorry for bad English, Thank You!
stats - http://postimage.org/image/ytt1ljrfv/full/
position stats - http://postimage.org/image/4f9c6yulz/full/
graph - http://postimage.org/image/chbztvath/full/
1) You ran above EV when you started.
2) As you move up, sustaining a 10bb/100 WR will become impossible as the games are tougher. Depending on the number of tables you play it may fall down to 2bb/100 or less if you are rakeback grinding.
3) 14k breakeven stretches bother you? Wait till it's 100-200k worth of hands... which again will happen as true winrate goes down.
Prepare... it gets much tougher and 14k hands is a drop in the bucket.
In fact, your entire 41k hand sample size is not even remotely close enough to plug into an equation and prove that you are in fact a winning player! Keep grinding sir... after a couple hundred K hands you'll be able to narrow your true WR down to something +/- 8bb/100 heh. Right now you are in variance city and can't really determine anything.