Originally Posted by AcesorKings
Hmm, well, itīs not like you know you have a gigantic lead over her hand range what is the hand range for the short stack with 15 BB left?... I mean, this time you are lucky to dominate her, but would you post this thread if she had turned over AK? With the chip counts the way they are this is a no brainer. Ace anything is good heads up, Ace face is makes this super easy to call. Folding a top 10 hand heads up is playing really tight. More detail about the call below.
Letīs say she pushes with aces through eights, ace-ten suited or better, king-queen suited or not, and ace-jack off or better. With AQo, you are a slight underdog against this handrange. If I was unlucky enough to find her range 3 times in 15 hands only when I mini raised then I am the most unlucky poker player there is.
And for all you know, maybe she only pushes with big pairs? Then youīre in real bad shape. Do you really think I walked into large pocket pairs 3 times in 15 hands? She only went all-in 2 other times since we have been heads up.
Or was it a recurring theme, you minraising and her going all in several times? Then itīs not just predictable play, itīs really bad play and there should be little problem taking her money. Did you look at all 3 hands?How many times do you need to have it happen to make it a pattern? I think 3 is enough in poker.
As far as the calling the push:
I have her about 4 to 1 in chips and know I can get her to push when I want her to if I raise 2 BB. You really think that all 3 times I just mini riased I walked into her monster hands that she wanted to push with or does it look like weakness on my part? I think she will open her hand range to push when I mini riase a third time.
How many hands am i afraid of here heads up?
AA has me crushed but what are the odds
AK has me drawing the 3 Q so I am around 30% chance to win.
KK I still have the A so I am around 30% to win the hand.
QQ same except he is drawing to only one Q to get the set.
JJ - 22 is a coin flip for the win.
Everything else I am ahead.
What I am hoping they will push with since I am chip leader.
Ax anything smaller than a Q and I win around 70% of the time.
Qx smaller than a J and I win 70% of the time.
two under cards (pushing like I hope) 65%ish to win.
Kx I am 60/40 to win.
JJ-22 is the coin flip.