Originally Posted by wicked663
Ok, I here ya but why not wait till the next round when you get J 10 or something atleast half way decent so you don't have to hit a miracle flop or fold if you are called. Just seems like there are ways to increase your odds of winning the hand when you are trying to steal and attempting it with 2 3 off is not one of them.
Because I have no intention of going to the flop. If this player folds his BB to a steal 85% of the time (ignoring for the sake of simplicity the SB), if I do this 100 times:
85 times, I win 1.5 BB
15 times, I lose 3 BB (if that's what I'm raising)
So, I'm netting +82.5 BB
And, that's assuming that if the BB reraises, or even flat calls, I'm abandoning the pot. So, even if I don't intend of putting another single chip into the pot after this bet, I'm still up in the long run.
Obviously, this is a fairly specific scenario. The BB has to be very tight, I have to be playing a ring game or a tournament in which the blinds are big enough to be worth stealing, and it has to be folded around to me. If the opportunity is right, you don't need the cards. Maybe if I fold that 32o and get dealt JT the next hand, someone in front of me comes in for a big raise.
Cards are important, and situations are important. But sometimes the situations outrank the cards.