re: Poker & Determining Hand Ranges
Originally Posted by Paul_G
I'm sort of thinking that I'm going to initially build a matrix profile initially with the hands I see and confirm/cross reference it with played hands count %...... I guess that I'm also going to have to come up with some widening/expanding of the ranges in consideration w.r.t. the position of the player and how much of an idiot he is...
I'm going to have to visualize some key profiles and percentages, along with all the other poker rubbish you have to remember - brain melt down - lol. A lot of work, but doable...
Thanks for the input all, its apprecated.
Not bad to begin with, but remember thet two people playing thee top 20% may be playing slightly different cards.
What you need to do s to taylor your 20% to the indervidual. So start with a basic model, but if ou see a guy playing a lot of aces then think to yourself.. if he plays all aces ... what might he not play in order to still be getting the figure of 20%
If you havnt seen someone play suited connecters.. then maybe he dosnt play them.. or now with enough frequency to include it in their range.
Remember that if you think someones range for say pairs is AA-77.. then most likely they wont play any pair lower than a 7... but then again its not impossible that they might still play 66-22.. especially if their stack becomes either large or short.
Remember that cards that are well inside their range are more reliable than those on the egdes.. because they may or may not be playing them due to position or just because they feel there is a reason to do so (or not).
The tighter their range the more accuracy you will get.
Whilst its very likely thet their cards are within their range.. dont completely assume that they wont be playing cards outside their range.. stick with the range.. but if the pot seems to be getting bigger than ususal... dont assume they must be bluffing because the nuts is outside of their range.. maybethey took a shot, maybe their range has changed.. or maybe they just misclicked and got lucky!!
Also If you do go with the matrix idea.. post your results on the forum for others to get a look at too.