Originally Posted by smerald
Yup, i agree. I have lost tons of times slow playing trips and then losing on turn or river. It has lost me tons of money.
There's a few things that need to be looked at here though:
- Are you playing trips (pair on the board matching one card in your hand) or a set (pair in your hand matching one card on the board)? Your odds of improving are the same in either case, but the set is better disguised than trips and your opponent might
be calling thinking you only have one or two pair, rather than three of a kind, and reasoning that they could hit an overpair to take the hand as well
- Are you re-evaluating the hand properly on the turn and the river?
The flush draw is only 35% to hit. An open end straight is slightly less than that, and a gutshot straight is only about 17%. And you're about 28% to improve
So depending on which draw you're up against, you should be coming out ahead at least 65% of the time (the worst-case nobody improves scenario). Long-term, this play should be making you money