re: Poker & BTN/CO stealing in 6max
Lets slow down for a minute and think about why we are stealing?
Well, stealing is instantly profitable when players are folding fairly tightly. If you are on the button, everyone has folded to you, then betting will often cause the blinds to fold. You should just be picking up free money. So simply stealing needs to work around 66% of the time to be purely profitable. That means if someone is calling as slightly less often than 34% of the time you will make money just right there.
That means a steal doesn't need to work all the time. IT also means that you DON'T HAVE TO PUT MORE MONEY IN THE POT IF A STEAL FAILS.
If you are playing at the micro's, then you should only really need to cbet a steal attempt when it is for value.
This is what I will normally try, I steal often when I can. If they call, I try and cbet (when the board is appropriate to do so). If they call again, I start to make some notes. If someone is not going to fold 66% of the time, then I will start to steal much more tightly and I am doing it for value.
Keep in mind, my value range against this guys is still pretty wide. Because he is calling with around 40% of his holdings when he is OOP, I can bet for value more easily. I can raise with any A, any K, all PP's, any two broadways, and probably like T9s or so. You still open fairly wide, and are happy if you take it down, but the reason is because he is playing a weak range out of position to you.
The reason stealing works, no matter what your opponent does, is that you have a positional edge. If they don't fold you add in a card edge, and they lose because they are bad at poker and you can just play ABC and win against dummies.