Originally Posted by thepokerkid123
You should be pushing your stack in with thin edges, if you think you've got an edge but only because it's +EV.
Worrying about how many sessions you're winning and adjusting your play to fix it sounds the same as someone worrying that their redline is low and adjusting despite having a great greenline. Don't worry about the stats if the results are already fine.
Good point. I have been taking those flips, every time if I think I have an edge...even if its a coin flip in my favor - pp vs overcards. Let's imagine a standard coin flip for even stack sizes of 100bb each. QQ vs AK.
QQ vs AK is about a 55 - 45. So you have a 10% edge. Now the rake will take away 5% of the pot. It's very possible that you could lose 70% of your coin flips over 50k, 100k hands....so it could take hundreds of thousands of hands for the odds
to catch up to you. Is it really worth it for a 5% edge that could literally take a lifetime to be in your favor? Aren't you better off passing and picking other spots to get it in where your 60%, 70%, 80%+?
Also, beyond popular belief, AK is a 10% dog to a pp - not really a flip -...then add the 5% rake if it all goes in pre, how can pushing all in with AK be profitable if you think villain will call? Or worse yet calling an all in with AK?
I know I'm getting detailed here but I'm trying to find a way to improve my game anyway I can in order to be more profitable overall...and one of those ways would be to turn my break even sessions into winning sessions.