Big draw / what the best play?
DB 36 (14)
min bet with TP no kicker / middle pair
limps OOP pre with AT
slow plays a big hand with a wet board
will auto jam a draw
will call a pot bet with middle pair
Merge No-Limit Hold'em, $0.04 BB (7 handed) - Merge Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (UTG) ($4.40)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with 10♦, J♦
I don't want to discuss if we can or can't raise this hand preflop. This is a LAG style play. I feel it would be a waste of time to argue about it. Just know I'm not playing this hand to hit a J or T and i'm not playing fit or fold post flop.
Hero bets $0.12,
MP1 calls $0.12,
BB calls $0.08
Flop: ($0.38) K♦, 7♦, J♥ (3 players)
BB bets $0.04,
Hero raises $0.25,
MP1 raises $0.70,
Hero calls $0.45
We are getting 3:1 on our call so this is an auto call. I have 9 to 11 outs. If we go with 9 outs then I only need to make a little over 1/4 the pot to break even.
Turn: ($1.82) 8♥ (2 players)
MP1 bets $1.40,
At the time I checked because I didn't want to get check/raised off my hand. If a J is good as an out then I have the odds
to call but I would be pot committed and a J maybe no good so I think a fold maybe best. I have 0 fold equity so I don't see the point in shoveing the rest in. Now that I think about it if I would have bet 0.98 then I would have an auto call. The pot is $1.82. He has $1.98 left. A 1/2 pot bet would be $0.91 so we make it a little more so he has $1. Our odds would be 1.82+0.98+0.98+1.00/1.00=4.78:1. If I put out a weak bet like $0.98 I would say he will just shove the rest.
I think his range is:
I think he would 3 bet AA and KK but there is a small chance he may have them.