re: Poker & Big draw: Shove or draw to it?
Thanks for the compliment - I'm an okay player, there are a lot of guys here better than me , but I'll try to outline some of my thinking, sorry it's not too organized, maybe some of the other guys will expand/correct...
Getting aggressive w combo draws is obv a semi-bluff - but it's a semi-bluff with better equity than a simple straight or flush draw, and the equity is so good that I have no problem two barreling them. When I miss the turn and the river, I have to decide whether I can sell a made hand against whoever's called me down - if I don't think I can, such is life, two barrels worth of cash out the window...
Villain - what is villain likely holding given pf action and his tendencies? If a tight player opens utg, pairs and big A's make up the majority of his range. If he's any good, he's going to see aggression as overpairs to the board, sets, and draws. Is JJ+ a big part of his range on a T high board? If so, I'll play more aggressively. Against a looser player who could have lots of hands including sc's and smaller pairs utg, I'll still play aggressively, but I'm going to be wary that he's drawing to either a better flush or straight than I'm drawing to.
Is villain good/tight/aggressive? This changes the strategy a little bit - a better/tighter/passive player is more likely to laydown an overpair than a weaker/looser/aggressive player (who's more likely to pay you off when you hit a set of 55's, weak or good players?). Depending on how good/tight/agg he is, I may be playing to push him off the pot on the flop or playing more of a draw.
Position - I'm going to be more aggressive oop than in position (but that's true pretty much all the time, so...).
Board texture - is it obvious that I could have a combo draw, or is it hidden? If the board is JhTh5c, for example, and I start betting like crazy, it's not going to be too hard to put a combo draw in my range. If the board is 6c8h2c, it's not hard to put me potentially on a draw, but putting me on 7c9c would be tougher, and it may look more like I'm betting an overpair or a set. Of course, you also need to match board texture to what your range for villain is as well - if there are three broadway cards on the board and you think villain's range is likely QQ+/AK, you shouldn't expect him to fold easily.
Quality of the draws -if one or both of the draws are to the nuts, I'm much happier getting it all in as quickly as possible than w combo draws where both draws are relatively weak (say, a baby flush and a non-nut straight draw).
Multiway or HU - depending on who is still in a multiway pot, I sometimes slow down if I think the pot will get bigger. There's a tradeoff, since multiway it's more likely others are drawing and may have better draws to either the straight or to the flush. The stronger my draws are, the more likely I'll slow down multiway - if the draws are relatively weak, I'll play it faster.
In general (c9 just put this in a thread in HA), we should never be looking at folding combo draws - so if villain forces the pace on the flop, we need to keep up.