betting for thin value

S

Six Hurdles

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Sep 13, 2010
Total posts
161
Chips
0
I have heard a term a few times in the last week or so that I haven't run across before. Betting for thin value. Can anyone explain what this means? I have some ideas but nothing definitive.
 
B

baudib1

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 2, 2008
Total posts
6,635
Chips
0
Thin value bets usually occur on the river when your range is ahead of villain's range, although barely. Generally it's a spot where you have no nut hands in your range and villain has very few but you can extract value from the rest of villain's range.

It's a situation that separates great players from average ones who will check back their mediocre holdings 99% of the time for showdown value.
 
LuckyChippy

LuckyChippy

Cardschat Elite
Silver Level
Joined
Jan 28, 2009
Total posts
4,987
Chips
0
I'm a little drunk so please excuse.

In poker you'll often be faced with situations where you have obvious spots where it's a value bet or a bluff. You have the nuts, you value bet. You have the worst hand but you feel he can fold his better hand, bluff. Fairly simple.

Occasionally you will have hand of medium strength that compared to his entire range is a favourite. You won't be value betting 100% of the time in this spot you may be 70% or even 60%. You are still betting for value against his range but that value is very thin. That is where the term comes from. Betting for value but it's quite marginal and isn't always obvious. You're value betting medium hands against a range.
 
B

baudib1

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 2, 2008
Total posts
6,635
Chips
0
Here's a good example of a hand played by two TV pros on the Big Game.

Tony G raises on the button to $2,000 with :8d4: :8c4:

Daniel Negreanu calls from the BB with :7s4: :4s4:

The flop is :10s4: :7d4: :4c4:

DN checks, Tony G bets $4,000, DN check-raises to $14,000. Tony G calls

Turn is :10d4:

DN checks, Tony G checks

River: :2c4:
DN checks, Tony G bets $25,000, DN calls


Both players have medium strength hands; both are aware that the other does not have Tx+. Tony G makes a gorgeous thin value bet knowing that DN probably has a marginal showdown hand and will call with worse, putting a lot of missed draws in Tony G's range.
 
S

Six Hurdles

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Sep 13, 2010
Total posts
161
Chips
0
Thank you for that explanation. I thought it was something like that but couldn't put it into words. Again, thank you.

In the hand described, had Daniel bet on the end that does tony raise for value at that point or can he just call with the feeling that he got as much value with as little risk as possible. He's never folding to a river bet right?
 
LuckyChippy

LuckyChippy

Cardschat Elite
Silver Level
Joined
Jan 28, 2009
Total posts
4,987
Chips
0
Raising the river would be on another level sick and I'm not sure if it's bad or not. Tony G would have to fold though for sure.
 
B

baudib1

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 2, 2008
Total posts
6,635
Chips
0
FWIW, here is negreanu's take on the hand after he was ripped on 2+2 for calling the river.

I think folding there would have been pretty bad actually. Yeah, you see that Tony G actually had 88, but if you didn't, based on the play of the hand, a 7 looks like it's way ahead of Tony's range. He NEVER has a 10 or a full house, but he has any of:

J9
J8
89
68
58
56
36
35

A lot of the time. What hands does he call the raise on the flop with CHECK the turn, and then fire the river that beat a 7?

AA
KK
QQ
JJ
99
88
A7
K7

I don't think he bets 25k with A7 or K7, feels like he'd bet smaller based on history. I didn't feel like he had AA or KK either, so I felt like I beat anything but 88 99 JJ QQ and the pot was laying me a price. If I didn't see his hand, and I'm in the same spot again, I think that would be a pretty bad fold based on how I played the hand and showed so much weakness on the turn and the river. If Tony has 56 there, and I check turn and river, he pretty much has to take a stab at it to get me off 89 or whatever.

Interesting thing about this hand is that Tony value bets 88, but if I had JJ I may have played them the exact same way. It was a good value bet on his part, but it was a bit thin. Tony can get away with thin value bets like that, though, because he plays so many hands that he really needs to get max value in tight spots and when he is winning he does a good job of that.
 
B

baudib1

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 2, 2008
Total posts
6,635
Chips
0
I'm not sure on the reasoning that he'd bet smaller with K7/A7 since K7 pretty much = 88 here.
 
LizaBuv

LizaBuv

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Nov 22, 2010
Total posts
164
Chips
0
Good example

Did not know what "thin value bet" meant either but the example really explained it well. I guess a thin value bet would sometimes carry some steal equity with it but probably not so much in this example.

So basically it is just a "value bet" but you expect not to win as often with a "thin value bet" as you would with a "value bet", correct?
 
B

baudib1

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 2, 2008
Total posts
6,635
Chips
0
There's an old cliche among poker players that you check your medium strength hands and bet your strong hands (for value) and weakest hands (as a bluff). This is a common spot where a ton of players will check back any pair and be happy to showdown for fear of getting check-raised on river.

Of course the reality is you will almost never get bluffraised on the river in a spot like this and if you do, you should probably find another game.

As for Tony G, I think it is an important part of his style to not give cheap showdowns to marginal hands OOP. Showing that he can correctly value bet his marginal hands as well as monsters makes him difficult to play with.
 
LuckyChippy

LuckyChippy

Cardschat Elite
Silver Level
Joined
Jan 28, 2009
Total posts
4,987
Chips
0
Yeah Tony G gets ripped on sometimes but the hand above shows he can really play.
 
B

baudib1

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 2, 2008
Total posts
6,635
Chips
0
yeah and I think DN's comments show a lack of understanding of the value of betting thin.

First off, I seriously doubt he shows up with JJ in this spot, like ever. JJ is a clear 3-bet for value against Tony G's button open. Furthermore, even granting that JJ is in DN's range here, the fact that you have to be at the top of your range to win doesn't make it a bad bet on Tony G's part.
 
TylerN

TylerN

Kool-Aid & Frozen Pizza
Silver Level
Joined
Aug 2, 2009
Total posts
3,728
Chips
0
off topic: does DN post on 2+2?
 
E

engman

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Mar 28, 2010
Total posts
195
Chips
0
I've never heard of the term "thin" value bet. Thank you to the people who explained what it means and when it is used.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

Is drawing with AK
Silver Level
Joined
Jan 2, 2007
Total posts
8,819
Chips
0
I'm not sure on the reasoning that he'd bet smaller with K7/A7 since K7 pretty much = 88 here.
Less combos of 7x in the deck. And your the guy who loves to bring up blockers so much in hand analysis...
 
B

baudib1

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 2, 2008
Total posts
6,635
Chips
0
In terms of relative hand strength K7 = 88; I'm pretty sure Tony G would play it the same way. Basically DN beats a busted straight draw and nothing else, including 75.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

Is drawing with AK
Silver Level
Joined
Jan 2, 2007
Total posts
8,819
Chips
0
In terms of relative hand strength K7 = 88; I'm pretty sure Tony G would play it the same way. Basically DN beats a busted straight draw and nothing else, including 75.
True, but I love to nitpick.
 
Related Betting Guides: CA Betting - AU Betting - UK Betting - SportsBetting Poker - BetStars
Top