re: Poker & Bet while behind in equity?
Originally Posted by theimd
Should you bet with a read that villain is on a straight and flush draw and ahead of you equity wise on the flop while you only have a pair with no other draws? 100bb deep game.
I'm thinking not betting for pot control since villain is ahead equity wise but then again he is also chasing draws so betting has merit for one your protecting your hand and two your betting for value since villain is chasing their draws but as i said you don't want to build the pot too much since villain is ahead in equity so should you bet after they check flop to you or just check back for pot control?
I would say there are times when it depends on how aggressively your opponents play their drawing hands and how comfortable you are getting 100BBs in with only one pair based on your read. If you bet it and they raise and barrel future streets you are going to be in a bad spot, guessing if they flopped big or just have a big draw.
There are boards that are so draw heavy you are often better off checking for pot control, since you will not know what cards complete your opponent's hand and there are many bad cards that can come up on the turn/river. If the pot is big you may find yourself priced in or wanting to call due to pot size.
One thing I would keep in mind is, if you do get to the river and everything misses, your opponent's hand will be unlikely to be able to call you on the river, so you are better off checking and calling and allowing them to bluff.
When checking a pair on the flop, if you feel you are ahead on the turn and have a good idea of what draw and cards you don't want to see, you should generally be betting large enough to charge your opponent to draw incorrectly with one card to come. A flush draw with 9 outs and 1 card to come is about 4 to 1 or 20% so give them bad odds
to draw and expect to make $ in the long run.
Hope this helps and good luck to you!