2NL:Sitting on SB w/QQ, 15/12 reg on BTN raises 2.5x, 3bet or call?

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gabl136

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I'm sitting on SB. Folded around, reg on BTN with 15/12 VPIP/PFR (ABC player according to Holdem Manager 2) raises 2.5x , effective stack is 125BB. Would you call or would you 3-bet?

Villain stats:

hands sample: 1.7k
VPIP/PFR: 15/12
3bet: 4,6%
fold to 3bet: 73%
4bet: 4,5%

Flop c-bet: 69%
Flop fold to c-bet: 43%
Turn c-bet: 65%
Turn fold to c-bet: 60%

PFR on BTN: 21%

What do you guys think is the optimal play here?

Do you call and try to get as much money in as possible, especially if there are no overcards?

Assuming you call, when do you fold postflop if he continues with the aggression?

What do you think is his actual range for raising the button when it's folded around to him?
 
IPlay

IPlay

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I'm just always 3 betting here. An A or a K or just a plain bad run out is going to come on too often and we are OOP and villain seems like he will play pretty aggressive post and force you to make too many tough choices.
 
G

gabl136

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I get this, but what i'm thinking about is, when an overcard doesn't come (57%?), how much extra chips can I expect to win from him when he c-bets, or even double barrels?

Assuming he does not hold any overcards to my queens, there is an 16% chance of an overcard coming on turn and river. If he is holding one overcard it's 14%, if hes holding two it's 12%. Is that correct?

Also, should I be more inclined to call and try to extract some extra chips from him if I'm on the BB and there is no players behind me preflop?
 
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