The "New Account Conspiracy"?
You've probably heard this from numerous people or perhaps even experienced it yourself. Many claim that nearly every time they create a new real money
account on a poker site, they do well starting out. Is this a coincidence? Just a heavily exaggerated idea? Or are there poker sites
that are ensuring lucky hands and lucky deals for those first starting out on their site? You know, maybe to give them that taste of winning money so that, if they lose it later, they'll be more anxious to re-deposit. I wouldn't take this too seriously as any sort of "ONLINE POKER IS RIGGED!" accusation. It's merely for speculation and the strange fact that, well, there seems like there might be something to it.
I made my first real money account on PokerStars
playing Omaha Hi/Lo. I played this because I heard it was the best to make money at it if you knew what you were doing. Well, I thought I knew what I was doing. In retrospect, I was terrible.
But yet, in my first few days playing I made over $100 in ring games! I was already convinced that I was good, so this just helped to retain that confidence... until I lost it all, very quickly.
I made my next real money account on Titan. I played the NL Hold 'Em jackpot SnGs. I was better at Hold 'Em, but I was still very bad. I thought any hand with an ace was great, would overvalue pretty much every non-premium face-card hand, chase draws without odds
and etc. Yet, I sucked out plenty, and won 1st place in my first two SnGs at this site. My very first hand, I hit a set of 4s and tripled up. Within days, my lack of ability caught up to me, and I was under what I started with.
My last real money account was made on Absolute Poker, where I still play now. Upon joining, I played a 9 player SnG and guess what? Yes, I won 1st place! I sucked out at least twice and was (somewhat rightly) called a fish. In fact, I placed in the money in 4 of my first 5 SnGs here. Yet, just like at the other sites, once my luck ran out and I wasn't hitting cards like a madman, I was below where I started within days.
I just began thinking about all this, and it's honestly hard to accept that it's just a series of coincidences. In every instance, I was a bad player at the time, and in every instance I started out doing incredibly, unreasonably well. It's just weird. I know luck comes and goes, but what are the odds that I'm just going to happen
to start out with an absurd amount of luck with each of three new money accounts I make. Why wasn't there a case where I just had enough luck to break-even early? Or maybe where I started out bad, and THEN got lucky. Or a case where I just didn't get lucky at all.
Ramble, ramble, ramble. Feel free to discuss your opinion on this so-called new account conspiracy and if you've experienced it yourself!