N.D.
Visionary
Silver Level
There's an old thread on this but it ended up bashing the daily dollar when the actual daily dollar had nothing to do with what the OP was asking. How old should a thread be before I'm grave robbing?
Anyway, somebody there said that if you play these satellites and only finish in the top 3 about 1/3 of the time spread evenly that you break even. I keep doing the math and you don't. You come out ahead. Accounting for buy-ins and finishing below 3rd place 2/3 of the time(needed 3 calculators for this I'm so bad), you actually win $7.5 over 100 of these things if you only place ITM divided equally by 3.
Unless I used the calculators wrong, that's 25% profit. How's 25% profit breaking even? Let's say you goof your way out of the money 2/3 of the time but do exceptionally well 1/3. $1 won 1/3 of the time would still be 10c profit. So that's should be .033...% profit(I think). If you managed to do it steadily you'd still be ahead. Closer to break even, but still.
Realistically, if you're patient enough you'll improve to the 25% profit in short order. Even without that kind of patience you'll end up with 5% - 10% realistically accounting for weird stuff in the long run(better than a lot of savings accounts offer even if it is just a tiny bit of money in your poker account). If you're more skilled/patient you can obviously do even better than 25% ITM(I haven't played enough of these things consistently to know how good/bad I am).
A br can be built, just very slowly. Hit $20 take a shot @ $1 + 10c MTT. Hit $40 try that MTT again, and so on and so forth. Just keep dropping down until you have a legitimate br going.
Oh yeah and I learned to not wig out because you know a better player's at the table.
Anyway, somebody there said that if you play these satellites and only finish in the top 3 about 1/3 of the time spread evenly that you break even. I keep doing the math and you don't. You come out ahead. Accounting for buy-ins and finishing below 3rd place 2/3 of the time(needed 3 calculators for this I'm so bad), you actually win $7.5 over 100 of these things if you only place ITM divided equally by 3.
Unless I used the calculators wrong, that's 25% profit. How's 25% profit breaking even? Let's say you goof your way out of the money 2/3 of the time but do exceptionally well 1/3. $1 won 1/3 of the time would still be 10c profit. So that's should be .033...% profit(I think). If you managed to do it steadily you'd still be ahead. Closer to break even, but still.
Realistically, if you're patient enough you'll improve to the 25% profit in short order. Even without that kind of patience you'll end up with 5% - 10% realistically accounting for weird stuff in the long run(better than a lot of savings accounts offer even if it is just a tiny bit of money in your poker account). If you're more skilled/patient you can obviously do even better than 25% ITM(I haven't played enough of these things consistently to know how good/bad I am).
A br can be built, just very slowly. Hit $20 take a shot @ $1 + 10c MTT. Hit $40 try that MTT again, and so on and so forth. Just keep dropping down until you have a legitimate br going.
Oh yeah and I learned to not wig out because you know a better player's at the table.