Crazy 7 card stud story.

C

Cardsharp

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On the weekend me and some friends were playin stud and my brothers 4 upcards were J,Q,K,A all spades! He didnt have the 10 but he took the pot none the less.
 
BKrywko1

BKrywko1

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Not sure what's so "crazy" about it - nh, however
 
smd173

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Crazy is having your four up cards be 10's. Which I've seen online and have a screenshot of. (Unfortunately it wasn't my hand, but fortunately I was not going against it)
 
C

Cardsharp

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Well, I thought it was prety crazy. Four 10's showing though-thats just insane!
 
blankoblanco

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Technically, isn't AKQJ suited showing sort of crazier than 4 of a kind showing?

Think about it. In order to have AKQJs showing, your initial card must be a card A through J. Then the following 3 cards must be the only possible 3 cards in the deck that will give you that hand.

In order to make a four of a kind, your initial card can be any card in the deck. The following 3 cards then would have to be the only possible 3 cards in the deck to give you 4 of a kind. Since your initial card can be any card, it actually gives you better odds to do this.
 
Beriac

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Basically the odds of 4 of a kind here are 1 {first card can be anything} * 3/51 * 2/50 * 1/49 = 1/20,000ish. I am assuming we have no foreknowledge of any other cards, excuse me if this is wrong as I don't know stud that well.

Now, for A-J suited the first card can be any 1 of 16, then the remaining 3 are drawing from 3, 2, and 1 cards respectively. So 16/52 * 3/51 * 2/50 *1/49 = about 1/68,000ish.

That's probably off but I think the logic is right.

Good call combuboom.

Of course, the odds of any specific 4 of a kind will be even tighter.
 
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