re: Poker & Comparing live poker to online.
Originally Posted by scphillips87
I suppose you're right. Just seems a little bit strange when people hit their 3-outers when we're all-in. It's like 19:1 odds or somethin but I'm generally on the 19 side and probably winning half of them. Is just frustrating but I'm learning to get over it and then I seem to get rewarded.
Again, I can only suggest that you're experiencing selective recall. We all do it.
To check, keep track of your actual hands and results over a meaningful sample - you'll almost certainly find they're in the normal statistical range and when you're in as a 19:1 favourite you're likely winning about 19 times out of 20.
Other thing is you're rarely a 19:1 favourite in hold 'em. Unless my math is wrong 19:1 is a one or two outer, depending on the street. In most of the common hold 'em situations (top pair vs a straight or flush draw, overcards vs a pair, etc) the odds are a lot
closer than that. The important part is just getting your money in good. Keep doing that and the math will even out eventually.
I'm a dealer and I must've pitched gawd knows how many thousands of live hands in the past few years. The three-outers and suckouts and weird stuff happen there too, but the good hands hold up about as often as they're supposed to and I've never thought online felt any different to that.