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#1
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Pre-flop calculation
Let's say you have AJ and you put your opponent on QQ, how big an underdog are you ? Does anyone knows a shortcut to calculate this ?
I have been in situations where I've had this hand or a similar one and the short stack moves all in, leaving me not sure what to do. I have seen Phil Gordon do these calculations on TV in a split second, what's the trick ? |
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#2
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You're about 32% to hit ONE of your two cards on the flop. So, if you have AJ and put your opponent on QQ you really only have three outs. Roughly, then, 16% of hitting on the flop. Hitting the A on the turn or river combined is roughly 12% and 6% (rules of 4 and 2).
I have no idea what the overall percentage is but these are some pretty crappy odds if you're putting your opponent on a hand that leaves you 3 outs. |
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#3
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One overcard to a pair is about 30% (give or take couple % if suited), same as being dominated. Lots of combinations of hands, but most outs are to three cards (about 2% an out five times). Try plugging hands into a poker calculator. Cardschat has one, requires a download I think. There's really no calculating to do preflop (other than pot odds on an allin) there are only several types of 2 card matchups, just learn the odds of them. Pair over pair 80/20, dominated hands 70/30, live cards Ax v Kx 60/40, pair v overs 50/50 and a few others slightly different.
Last edited by D'wilius : 14-09-2008 at 4:55 PM. |
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#4
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Here's a site with quick discussion of pre-flop scenarios:Texas Holdem Poker Strategy - Pre Flop Hand Odds - 777.com
Here's your scenario: Pocket Pair vs. One Undercard & One Overcard – ex. JJ vs. KT The odds here are similar to those of the hands above, with 70% to 30% in favor of the pair. |
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#5
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download PokerStove. It's free.
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#6
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Quote:
YouTube - learn to win at Texas Holdem (with Daniel Negreanu) 1of3 |
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#7
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ZZ: Haven't seen the video but I read his latest book. DN is also figuring in implied odds of stacking the KK if he hits an ace. You might, using this concept, call a raise with that hand, but why would you call an all-in unless you're extremely shortstacked? That's not small-ball anymore and I'm surprised he made a video suggesting this call.
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