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| This is a discussion on pot odds vs probability within the online poker forums, in the Learning Poker section; Wanted to make sure probability and pot odds are seperate things? Articles always say compare pot odds to decide if you want to draw, but ... |
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#1
26th February 2009, 7:30 AM
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| pot odds vs probability Wanted to make sure probability and pot odds are seperate things? Articles always say compare pot odds to decide if you want to draw, but would you ever use probability as well? |
| Play Texas Hold'em Online Poker | pot odds vs probability | |
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#2
26th February 2009, 8:19 AM
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| These are strongly related ideas - see this http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pot_odds - especially section "Using pot odds to determine expected value". Probability comes into play in the probability of the draw actually hitting, which can be calculated and compared to the pot odds - if the probability of the draw hitting is greater than the pot odds, you should call, if the probability is less than the pot odds, you should fold (barring other considerations like bluffing etc.). Last edited by slycbnew : 26th February 2009 at 8:22 AM. Reason: after re-reading, realized I didn't really answer his question :) |
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#3
27th February 2009, 8:45 AM
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| Okay thanks. EV is a tougher one to grasp though. More on probability, I've been trying to calculate preflop probabilty now. How do you calculate AK vs 72 non suited on who wins? Estimate of pairing: I do 1-(34/46)^5= 78/2=40%? So 20 % no pair 40% 72 hits 40% AK hits. How to calculate the rest? I'm assuming I have to calculate the fact even if 72 hits, AK can still have a big advantage? Last edited by gkh : 27th February 2009 at 9:07 AM. |
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#4
27th February 2009, 9:09 AM
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| re: pot odds vs probability poker |
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#5
27th February 2009, 9:40 AM
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