| This is a discussion on 18 outer within the online poker forums, in the Learning Poker section; I am questioning the power of the open ended straight and flush draw. In the last 3 tournaments i played i got 3 of these ... |
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#1 | ||||
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| 18 outer I am questioning the power of the open ended straight and flush draw. In the last 3 tournaments i played i got 3 of these and i didn't hit one! The first time i actually had an open ended straight flush draw. I had 4,5s and the flop was 3,6,2s right then and there i bet pot and was called then on 4th street i bet pot again and on 5th i obviouslydidnt hit the straight or the flop was that the wrong play? I was pretty sure he didnt have the straight or the flush draw also he ended up with two pair and one spade so it was actually a 17 outer. The other two times were a little different situation. I got my draw on fourth street bet pot and didnt hit both times is that the wrong play? |
| Play Texas Hold'em Online Poker | 18 outer | |
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#4 | ||||
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| re: 18 outer poker Quote:
but imo if it was on fulltilt not supprising |
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#5 | ||||
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| Maybe I'm missing something, but shouldn't an OESFD be 15 outs, not 18? Nine for the flush and another six for the straight. That's a 31.9% chance to hit on the turn, or 54.1% for the turn and river combined. It's still pretty much a garden variety coin flip if you're against an overpair, and you're a dog on any single street. |
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#8 | ||||
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| re: 18 outer poker Quote:
On the flop (assuming you had the draw on the flop) you would've been around 30% to make your hand by the river in each case. You'll miss seven times out of ten. Missing three out of three is, therefore, about the most unsurprising thing in the world. |
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#9 | ||||
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| As has been said before, just think of the probability of hitting as about 1/3 on the flop and turn and 1/2 combined. The chance of missing 3 times if you saw it down to the river all 3 times is about 1/8. Also, you generally don't want to be betting a lot with draws. You generally want to be seeing free/cheap cards when you are behind. |
Number of Posts: 9
Number of Authors: 8