| This is a discussion on So what are the odds... within the online poker forums, in the General Poker section; ... against being dealt the exact same two cards three times in six hands? If I have to get the same cards over and over, ... |
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| So what are the odds... ... against being dealt the exact same two cards three times in six hands? If I have to get the same cards over and over, couldn't I please get ![]() ? |
| Play Texas Hold'em Online Poker | So what are the odds... | |
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#3 | ||||
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| Wow, that first hand was wild. Great time for quads. Bad time for anything else. By my calculations, the odds of getting the same hand at least 3 times out of 6 hands are roughly 2500:1 against, i.e. approximately 0.04% chance of happening. The question remains, of course, are my calculations correct? I'll show my math in case anyone else wants to give this a go as well. There are (52 * 51) / 2 = 1326 possible starting hands. Thus, the chance of getting one hand the same as another (i.e. two hands the same) is 1/1326. The chance of getting two hands the same as another (i.e three hands the same) is 1/1326 * 1/1326 = 1/1758276. The number of ways to order these three hands out of six hands dealt is 6! = 720. Thus, there are 720/1758276 possible ways to get at least three hands out of six the same as each other. I hope I didn't botch that too badly! In any event, it's definitely a rare event! |
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